Zverev vs Harris Prediction: US Open Quarterfinal Betting Picks

September 8, 2021

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5:30 PM ET Sep 8
Alexander Zverev vs Lloyd Harris
Under 35.5 games
-105
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Zverev vs Harris is the first men’s quarterfinal match on the Wednesday schedule at the 2021 US Open. Sascha Zverev and Lloyd Harris will look to set up a potential match with Novak Djokovic with a win, as Zverev hopes his experience making a final at this tournament last year will propel him forward. In this set of men’s tennis picks, we look at this battle of big servers, both of whom will look to impose their will on this matchup.

Alexander Zverev vs Lloyd Harris Betting Pick

Harris vs Zverev Pick: Under 35.5 games (-105)

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Sascha Zverev has dropped just one of the 12 sets he has played in this year’s US Open, winning four matches comfortably to get to the quarterfinals. He has beaten Americans in Sam Querrey and Jack Sock, as well as Albert Ramos-Vinolas and Jannik Sinner. Sinner was Zverev’s latest conquest, with the German beating the Italian up-and-comer in straight sets to get to this point.

Zverev has been extremely impressive in this tournament by limiting his mistakes so far. He hasn’t had more than three double faults in a match at this US Open, something he has struggled with historically. And he has had only one match with over 20 unforced errors, with that being the match against an elite opponent in Sinner, who Zverev had to go for a bit more against. Against Harris, relatively mistake-free tennis could see him sail into the semifinals.

Lloyd Harris has been very strong at this US Open, despite the fact that it didn’t look like he’d make it through the first round. The South African came back from two sets to one down to beat Karen Khachanov in round one, and followed it up with a pair of straight set wins, including one against Denis Shapovalov. In the round of 16, Harris destroyed Reilly Opelka in four sets, in a match that he should have won in straights.

Harris, like Zverev, has been dominant on his first serve throughout this tournament. The first-time major quarterfinalist has won at least three-quarters of his first serve points in every match during this tournament. Against an admittedly immobile Opelka, Harris won over 90% of his first serve points including 100% of such points in the third set. He will face more pressure from Zverev, but Harris is serving at a clip that could make him very competitive.

Zverev vs Harris has been played twice all-time, with both of those matches coming on hard courts within the last year. Zverev won both of those matchups, once on the indoor hardcourt in Cologne and once outdoors in Cincinnati. The German won both of those matches by a total of five service games, winning in three sets on home soil before beating Harris in straight sets in Cincinnati.

In their two previous meetings, Zverev has broken Harris seven times and has been broken just twice. With Zverev playing some elite tennis, while Harris struggled with the only quality opponent he’s faced so far, Zverev is likely to get the better of this matchup as well. The under should come in for this match, as the German is going to win the match and set up a clash with the number one player in the world.

Harris vs Zverev Pick: Under 35.5 games (-105)

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US Open Betting FAQ

Can Berrettini beat Djokovic?

Matteo Berrettini is not playing as well as he did during his run through Wimbledon. His backhand is still erratic, but he is also not making the same impact with his forehand consistently at the moment. Djokovic is going to attack the Berrettini backhand again, and should be able to use the Italian’s weakness to make the semifinals.

Should Medvedev be the tournament favorite?

Daniil Medvedev has a much easier path to the final than Djokovic at this point in time. Medvedev is going to play the winner of Auger-Aliassime vs Alcaraz for the final. Djokovic, meanwhile, has to face Berrettini, the winner of Zverev vs Harris, and then probably Medvedev. For that reason, the odds might be in Medvedev’s favor at the moment.

Why is the US Open final on during NFL Sunday?

The scheduling of the tennis tour makes it so that the US Open men’s final comes on the first or second Sunday of NFL season each year. That is disastrous for fans of both sports, as they have to miss pieces of both to keep up with what is going on at these two huge occasions in the world of sports.

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Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is a sports writer and broadcaster from Albany, NY. He has covered sports betting and the gambling industry since 2013.