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Latest Betting Picks

NFL picks

4:00 PM ET Sep 1

AFC North Betting PIck

Steelers to win division

+400

✅ 2021 will bring another competitve season in the AFC North. The Baltimore Ravens (+125) and Cleveland Browns (+145) are the teams getting respect from the oddsmakers and gamblers alike. While it makes sense to leave the Cincinatti Bengals (+2000) out of the divisional title picture, it does not make sense to do so for the Pittsburgh Steelers (+400).

✅ Yes the Browns and Ravens remain high end teams, and will almost certainly finish with winning records, both teams have flaws and do not bring value for a divisional win wager. The Ravens have the most glaring flaw, and that is with their passing game as a whole. The Ravens have gone so far as to not allow media to film Lamar Jackson throwing this offseason, and their offense as a whole could suffer if there are no steps forward with their passing game. The Browns have a similar concern with their passing game, but theirs is not quarterback related. The Browns simply need more out of their collective pass catching corps in 2021. They were a game script dependent team in 2020 and were far more dangerous playing from ahead when they could ride Nick Chubb to victories.

✅ I believe the Steelers to return not just the best defense in the division, but the best defense in the league. They are formidable at each level and are prone to both sacks and takeaways. It was the offense that failed them in 2020, and there were multiple issues. The most glaring was the lack of a true running game and difference making play from the running back position. The Steelers addressed this as well as any team could, drafting Najee Harris in the first round of the NFL draft. He will be a bell cow from Day 1 and will bring back running back competence that the Steelers have been missing since the decline and departure of Leveon Bell.

✅ The other issue the Steelers offense faced was in the arm strength issues of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger after major surgery. It wasn't until this offseason that Roethlisberger talked about the extent of the surgery and how he was affected by it in 2020. He claims his arm feels better than it did last year, and if true, that is terrible news for opposing defenses. The Steelers may quietly have the best receiving corps in the league. Diontae Johnson is quietly bordering on an elite player in the league. Chase Claypool has an unlimited ceiling and already proved effective in 2020. Additionally the Steelers were able to bring back Juju Smith-Schuester to continue to work underneath. With a better deep ball combined with a real run game, the Steelers offense will be a difficult one to stop.

✅ I feel the Steelers have at least as few if not fewer question marks than the Ravens, and bring a far better defense than the Browns. For the betting line to be around three times more lucrative than these other two teams, there is absolutely value to attack on the 4 to 1 return.

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4:00 PM ET Sep 1

AFC West Betting Pick

Chiefs to win conference

+250

4:00 PM ET Sep 1

Patriots Week 1 Starting Quarterback

Mac Jones to start

+250

4:00 PM ET Sep 1

AFC East Betting Pick

Bills to win division

-150

4:00 PM ET Sep 1

Titans Win Total

Over 9.5

-110

See all NFL picks

UFC picks

8:00 PM ET Jul 24

Ian Heinisch vs Nassourdine Imavov

Heinisch

-150

11:00 PM ET Jul 22

Darrick Minner vs Darren Elkins

Elkins

+135

✅ This will be a grappling heavy fight that will be a tale of two halves. Darrick Minner loves to come out and grapple, often spending his entire gas tank attacking early submissions. Those attacks are often ill advised, and he has gassed himself out multiple times to the point of complete exhaustion multiple times with that game plan. Now, he has James Krause coaching him which certainly cannot hurt, but a coach does not help with cardio on fight night. Minner and Darren Elkins will be happy to wrestle and grapple with each other, and the gas tank of Minner will likely be the most important factor in this fight. I don’t believe Minner has the grappling skill set to get a submission on a fighter like Elkins. With that being the case, there’s a very strong chance Minner takes the first round and is fully dominated thereafter. It should be noted over 11 years and 23 fights in the UFC, Elkins has never been submitted.

✅ Darren “The Damage” Elkins certainly lives up to his nickname. He is one of those fighters that has so much scar tissue on his face, he ends up a bloody mess essentially every fight. This may not be one of those fights however, as it should be extremely grappling heavy, and he won’t absorb too much damage on the feet. If we do see any prolonged striking, I would give the advantage to Elkins in that department. What we will see is two fighters that are happy to try to get the fight to the mat, and both will likely have success. Elkins will probably be taken down in the first round, but he will make Minner work throughout that round, and that is the key. Once Elkins drains the gas tank of his opponent, he will have his way. He has the superior gas tank, the experience edge and is tough as nails.

✅ This bet will be something of a sweat for that first round, but I don’t think we are in a huge amount of danger of having our underdog finished. Elkins will start to take over in the second round and will essentially see no resistance in the third round. A decision win is probably a bit more likely than a finish, so we will opt for the safer +135 flat play over the +350 ITD line. If you want to supplement a smaller play on the ITD line I completely understand doing so.

Full review Bet now

11:00 PM ET Jul 22

Miranda Maverick vs Maycee Barber

Barber

+125

✅ This is a great fight for the women’s flyweight division. Miranda Maverick stormed into the promotion with dominant wins over Liana Jojua and Gillian Robertson. Maverick is a grappler who has seen her striking catch up to some extent and is looking like someone with a strong future in the promotion. Enter the irony as this fight is with Maycee “The Future” Barber is not dissimilar to where her opponent was a couple of years ago. Maverick is facing a totally different test than she did in her first pair of UFC fights, and we will see how she responds to that. She will be fighting an opponent with real power and finishing ability for the first time. Maverick will likely be turned to a wrestler once the striking settles in. I do not think she can hang with Barber in the stand up. While I do think she will be able to land on Barber, I think the power coming back will shy Maverick away from wanting to spend too much time striking. It will be key for Maverick to be able to get the fight down and use top control to take rounds. If she is unable to do so early and her disadvantage in the stand up becomes apparent, she may end up telegraphing her entries and it could lead to a tough night for her.

✅ Maycee Barber is coming off a pair of losses after winning her first four fights in the promotion via, all via KO. Of course the first loss was as a massive favorite when she blew out her knee during the fight. The most recent loss to Alexa Grasso was a close loss, and one in which she showed a complete skill set, real power, but still lacking in experience. She will not have that issue in this fight as she is the more experienced fighter. Barber will be the better striker and she certainly packs huge power for this division. She is a rounded fighter as well, but is still a striker before a grappler. She has solid BJJ and knows how to stay safe on the mat, but she will need to see her takedown defense hold up. She would be in danger of being controlled for periods if taken down. Where her bread and butter will be is in the stand up and progressively putting damage on her opponent. The power that Barber lands will be new for an inexperienced opponent and not something Maverick will have an easy time adjusting to on the fly.

✅ Barber opened as a moderate favorite in this fight, but the money has just poured in Miranda Maverick. I am a fan of Maverick and she has a solid future, but I think this is a fight in which Barber gets herself back on track. Getting significant value on the underdog compared to where the bookmakers opened the line, I am happy to take the +125 flat line on Barber. The +320 ITD line is tempting, but not going to go there as I think we learn something about the durability of Maverick in this matchup.

NBA picks

1:00 AM ET Jul 24

Olympic Women's 3x3 Tournament

Team USA to Win

+110

Jay

1:00 AM ET Jul 21

Bucks vs Suns Game 6

Bucks -4.5

-115

Jay

See all NBA picks

TENNIS picks

6:30 AM ET Jul 25

Kei Nishikori vs Andrey Rublev

Rublev -4 games

-105

Jay

See all TENNIS picks

The Betting Picks Experts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports writer and broadcaster from Albany, NY. He has covered sports betting and the ...

Martin Evergreen

Martin Evergreen is a sports betting professional who provides initiated betting picks and predictio...

Gus Anderson

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TJ Calkins

TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow...

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