With sports betting becoming so popular around the US, getting the best NFL picks against the spread is something that many people desire. But, where can you get football game picks that actually are good is a challenge.
At USSportsBonus, we provide NFL expert picks against spread. We have real humans who provide these NFL picks against the spread and not a computer. Our NFL picks this week are always backed by intense knowledge and research into football.
In addition to knowing that we provide some really great NFL picks against the spread, it's also important to know what football betting entails. So, let's take a closer look at football games betting includes, from the start of the season all the way through the NFL football season to the Super Bowl.
NFL Picks at US Sportsbonus
Throughout the NFL season, we provide NFL predictions for this week. That includes many NFL picks against the spread.
But, many rely on computers make predictions on the outcome of football games, from the regular season to the playoffs, divisional round and even the championship.
Free NFL Picks Against the Spread at USSportBonus
At USSportbonus.com, we give you free NFL Picks against the spread. Our goal is to be the ultimate guide to online sports betting in the US.
That starts with NFL picks against the spread and football predictions, but also includes up-to-date news and a unique perspective. We hope to be a guide for you to make the most educated decisions when placing your NFL picks against the spread, and that is what our NFL predictions today are here for.
Visitors to our site will receive completely free of charge NFL predictions against the spread with a breakdown of all predictions and how we arrived at those predictions. Visitors will also receive betting strategies, links to the best recommended sports books and everything one could want in terms of free NFL picks information.
While the NFL has all rights reserved for their content, the sportsbooks set the lines for the football matchups. And no one Sportsbook has the all rights reserved moniker for this aspect of NFL football.
NFL Picks Against the Spread by a Computer Don't Work
NFL picks against the spread by a computer are inferior to human picks made from professionals. While computers can do some pretty amazing things today, they have a hard time making adjustments for specific situations in games that only a human can consider.
For example, a computer may be able to know whether the Green Bay Pacers have a good defense, but they won't necessarily know whether they match up well against other specific teams. In this case, the computer could produce NFL picks today that predict the Packers will win, but they are way off on the final score.
In NFL picks against the spread betting, the particular score is extremely important. If the Packers defense only lets up 12 points per game, a computer might think they are likely to continue playing good defense.
But, a computer can't take into consideration other assets of football games, such as whether the Packers defense is a good matchup scheme against the Oakland Raiders. As a result, the computer may predict the Packers to win by 21, led by a strong performance by their defense.
If the Packers defense doesn't play as well against the Raiders offense, though, they may only win by 5 points. And if you bet on the Packers in that game with a line of -8.5, you will be disappointed when you lose your bet.
NFL Betting opens up for a range of various betting lines. Whether its Against the spread, Moneyline, Totals, Prop Bets or Futures, we will make sure to offer NFL predictions as long as our experts find good value bets.
NFL Picks Against the Spread
There are a few different NFL picks against the spread betting lines that will determine the wagering type.
NFL picks against the spread (also known as the line) are a single-game bet. An NFL point line is an imaginary number of points a favored team gives to the underdog.
A point line is a general point differential of the final score, as determined by the bookmakers. It is not specifically created to be predictions of the outcome but instead to inspire NFL picks betting action on both sides.
Here is a hypothetical game and NFL picks point line:
This means the Kansas City Chiefs of the AFC West are favored and laying 3.5 points on the point spread. In order for a wager on the Chiefs to win or “cover the spread” they would have to win by at least four points. Any outcome in which the AFC West side lost the game or won the game by fewer than four points would mean wagers on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the NFC South would be winners.
The figure in parenthesis is the “vig” or “juice.” This is the additional amount the bettor pays to the bookmaker on a losing wager as a fee for booking the bets, per $100 wagered. In the case of a standard -110 NFL spread wager, bettors would have to risk $110 to win $100.
Our NFL picks focus largely on NFL picks against the spread. They will help guide you through what to expect from a point differential standpoint and which NFL point spreads are set too high or too low, using our analysis of each matchup during each round of the season.
This means the Packers are favored and laying 3.5 points. For NFL picks on the Packers to “cover the line" to win, the Packers would have to win by at least four points. Any outcome in which the Packers lose the game or win the game by fewer than four points would mean NFL picks on the Steelers would be winners.
NFL Over/Under Betting
The over/under is another market where NFL picks are immensely popular to make. In this market, sportsbooks will set a line where they project the combined score of both teams to end up. Bettors then have to predict whether the combined score of those teams will be over or under that amount. Let’s take a look at an example NFL game to get a clearer picture of what the over/under market entails.
The over/under in this game is asking bettors whether the total combined score between the New York Jets and Philadelphia Eagles will be over or under 45 points. Let’s say the final score of this game is the 27-20, with the Jets defeating the Eagles. With 47 points scored, wagers on the over would be winners and wagers on the under would be losers.
If the score was instead a 21-20 victory for the Jets, the combined score would be 41 points and would fall short of the total of 45. In that case, the under would be the winning wager. And in the event that there was a 24-21 victory for the Jets, the score would be exactly 45 points. In that case, all bets on this over/under would be graded a push and would be refunded.
It is worth noting that it does not matter whether the Jets or Eagles win in this betting market. The only thing that matters for the outcome of over/under NFL picks is how many points the Jets and Eagles combine to score.
NFL Moneyline Predictions
When making NFL picks on the moneyline market, the goal is simply to pick the winner of each NFL game. In this market, it does not matter how much a team wins by or how many points are scored. Instead, bettors simply have to predict which side is going to win each game.
In this market, instead of navigating a point spread, moneyline bettors are faced with the task of laying odds when betting the favorite or getting a plus price when betting on the underdog. While this type of wager is far more common in sports like Major League Baseball, Mixed Martial Arts and Boxing, it is available in NFL betting as well.
For example, let's say that the Dallas Cowboys were taking on the Green Bay Packers. In the game, the Dallas Cowboys entered as a -175 favorite with the underdog in the Green Bay Packers being approximately +155. This means that a wager to win $100 on the Cowboys would require a risk of $175. A wager on the Packers would return $155 for every $100 wagered on a winning bet.
When making NFL picks, bettors will notice that line movement in the point spread market will typically result in movement on the moneyline as well. But bettors should keep in mind that favorites do not always win in the NFL, as the competition in the league is typically very balanced. That means making NFL picks featuring huge moneyline favorites is not always a sound strategy.
Our free NFL expert picks picks, on the other hand, do feature sound strategy. When there is value in the moneyline market, we all let bettors know and provide the analysis behind that decision to help bettors make the most profitable NFL picks possible.
NFL Picks and Parlays
Parlay betting in the NFL is the act of combining two or more wagers into one singular bet to receive better odds, assuming all pieces or “legs” of the parlay are winners. A parlay requires every leg to win in order for the parlay bet to be a winner.
The odds for parlays can be found in the table below, so bettors have an idea as to what a parlay will pay out if they use legs that all have odds of -110.
Using the examples above, let’s say that bettors wanted to parlay the Chiefs -3.5 over the Buccaneers with the over 45 in the Eagles game. If both of those legs were to win, bettors would earn $260 in profit for every $100 they wagered.
Parlay bets are meant to be done in moderation, but can be a lucrative play when a bettor is correct in all of their NFL picks.
NFL Teaser Bets
A teaser is similar to a parlay in that it features multiple legs, with odds that increase as bettors add additional legs into the mix. But in teasers, bettors are able to move the betting lines for each leg in their favor by a number of points they choose.
The common amount that lines are moved in teasers is between six and seven points. The odds for a teaser depend on how many points a bettor moves each line by. But with bettors moving the lines for each leg, the payouts for teasers are not as favorable as they are when placing a parlay bet.
To be successful when making NFL teaser bets, bettors should try to use them to create value where possible. Making a one possession underdog into a two possession underdog is often more valuable than teasing a three-point favorite through zero. Bettors who use sound strategy when betting teasers are in a good position to earn a profit.
NFL Futures Betting
Futures betting in the NFL allows bettors to predict how a team will perform over the course of a full season. Futures markets include which team win a division, conference or the Super Bowl, as well as whether or not teams will make the NFL playoffs.
Success in the futures markets is the result of bettors being able to project which teams will exceed their expectations over the course of a season. Bettors can often get a good price on teams that are not favored to win their division or conference, so long as bettors are willing to assume the risk with those teams.
NFL Prop Bets
Prop bets, short for proposition bets, are wagers bettors can make on NFL games that do not pertain to the final score. These markets can be hard to predict, but bettors who have a deep understanding of matchups and team tendencies have a better chance of finding bad lines on props than they do full-game betting odds like spreads and totals.
NFL props can range from anything from the outcome of the coin toss at the start of the game to the number of passing touchdowns a player will accumulate during an NFL game. Here are some examples of prop bets that are common during each week of the NFL season and each round of the playoffs.
First team to score
- Browns (-120)
- Steelers (+100)
Baker Mayfield passing touchdowns:
- Over 1.5 (-160)
- Under 1.5 (+140)
At USSportsBonus, we will offer playoff predictions for the NFL. This will include mostly free NFL expert picks straight up for every single playoff game during the season, what to watch for in each game during the season and thoughts on player props and other predictions.
NFL playoff time is truly the pinnacle of the NFL season and the most intense sporting time of the year. Our experts will have hours spent on covering everything from the season pertinent to these games so you don’t have to come up with playoff predictions yourself.
The Super Bowl is the biggest sporting event in America every year, as the legacies of each player are defined by how they perform once they get to that stage. Our Super Bowl picks aim to end the NFL Playoffs with the most knowledgeable selections both in traditional betting markets like the spread and total, and in the exotic prop bets that Super Bowl betting is known for.
The NFL Draft is one of the most exciting parts of the NFL schedule each year. The NFL Draft sees players from college get selected by teams throughout the league, as they begin their journey from college standouts to professional athletes. And bettors are able to make NFL picks during the NFL Draft through a series of prop bets.
Some NFL Draft prop bets center around who different teams will take with their scheduled draft picks. Others ask which round a player will be selected in during the NFL Draft. And some prop bets include an over/under on the pick number where different prospective draft picks will be taken.
Of course, there is the potential for teams to trade their picks during each round, which can make it difficult to predict where each college prospect will end up. Teams trade picks to move up and get players they want, or to move back and receive additional picks for later in the draft. And those trades can have an impact on whether players are drafted where they are expected to be drafted.
In the NFL Draft, any pick can become an all-time great player. Anyone from the first round to the fifth round to the seventh round can become a key contributor to a Super Bowl quality roster. Just ask Tom Brady, who may be the best NFL player of all-time after going in the sixth round in his NFL Draft class.
Much More Than NFL Picks
NFL betting is the most popular form of sports gambling in America, but at US Sportsbonus, you can expect much more than NFL expert picks throughout the year.
We cover all the major US sports and offer daily/weekly betting picks on NBA, NHL, MLB, UFC and more sports. To get all of our free picks, visit our website regularly and follow us on Twitter for daily betting picks.