• Sat
    Jun 19
  • 12:30 am
    BKN
    MIL
    -120
    100
  • 12:00 am
    NYI
    TBL
    125
    -147
  • Fri
    Jun 18
  • 2:00 am
    LAC
    UTA
    100
    -120
  • 12:00 am
    MTL
    VGK
    140
    -167
  • Thu
    Jun 17
  • FINAL
    NYI
    TBL
    118
    -139
  • Wed
    Jun 16
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -278
    230
  • Tue
    Jun 15
  • FINAL
    BKN
    MIL
    125
    -149
  • Mon
    Jun 14
  • FINAL
    VGK
    MTL
    -250
    200
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    120
    -145
  • Sun
    Jun 13
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    105
    -130
  • FINAL
    TBL
    NYI
    -189
    155
  • FINAL
    MIL
    BKN
    110
    -135
  • Fri
    Jun 11
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    -130
    105
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    100
    -120
  • Thu
    Jun 10
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -149
    125
  • FINAL
    VGK
    COL
    -114
    -103
  • Wed
    Jun 9
  • FINAL
    PHX
    DEN
    -278
    210
  • FINAL
    NYI
    BOS
    118
    -139
  • Tue
    Jun 8
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -175
    145
  • FINAL
    COL
    VGK
    -145
    120
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -179
    148

US Open 2020 Odds – Picks and Predictions

June 1, 2020

US

The US Open is typically the final major tournament of the tennis season, but has become the second major of the year in 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic. With the players having spent time in New York during last week’s relocated Western and Southern Open, the virus is likely to be contained as players look to take advantage of the opportunity presented by several key players being out.

Betting Pick: Novak Djokovic -125 to win the tournament
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US Open 2020 Field

Right away, bettors will notice the key names missing from the 2020 US Open draw. Only seven of the top 10 players on the ATP Tour will be attending the event, with the absences of Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal jumping off of the tournament bracket. Their decision to forgo the tournament has elevated Dominic Thiem to the second seed in the draw, enabling him to avoid tournament favorite Novak Djokovic until a potential meeting in the final.

Even without Federer and Nadal, though, the US Open field is a loaded one. Below Djokovic and Thiem are players like Sascha Zverev and Stefanos Tsitsipas, who are looking to find more consistent form at majors despite their immense talents. Up and comers like Denis Shapovalov and Felix Auger-Aliassime have moved into the top 15 in the seeding due to the opt-outs heading into the tournament and could make deep runs as well.

The area of the field that is really impacted by this year’s circumstances is the lower level entrants. Normally, these players would have a chance to earn their way into the tournament through qualifiers, giving them a chance to find some form before being tasked with opposing main draw players. With no qualifiers this year, many Challenger level players are being thrown into the main draw, where one has to wonder if they can keep up with the top players in the tournament.

Odds to win US Open

This year’s US Open odds are different than the ones that bettors see heading into the tournament in most years. There are typically a group of favorites headlined by Djokovic, Nadal and Federer that are all at similar odds to win. But with Federer and Nadal both out of US Open, Djokovic is a clear favorite to win his second major in two tries in 2020. Here is a look at the odds to win the 2020 US Open.

PlayerOdds to win (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Novak Djokovic-125
Daniil Medvedev+550
Stefanos Tsitsipas+800
Dominic Thiem+900
Milos Raonic+1700
Sascha Zverev+2000
Roberto Bautista-Agut+2000
Matteo Berrettini+4000
Andrey Rublev+4000
Andy Murray+5000
Denis Shapovalov+6600
Felix Auger-Aliassime+8000
Marin Cilic+8000
Alex de Minaur+8000
David Goffin+8000

You will notice that Novak Djokovic is a heavy favorite to win this year’s US Open, with bettors needing to lay $125 to win $100 on him to lift the trophy at the end of the fortnight. Of course, Djokovic has won all 23 of the matches he has played in 2020 heading into the US Open, which might not make that a terrible bet.

Further down the list, a player like Milos Raonic could be an interesting selection at +1700. Raonic has played some electric tennis in 2020, making a deep run in the Australian Open and reaching the final of the Cincinnati Open that was located in New York. Raonic even managed to take a set from Djokovic in the Cincinnati final, with the abnormally fast courts in New York and his massive serve making him worth a look as a value play at long odds.

For those looking for a longshot, Matteo Berrettini at +4000 could be your man. The Italian has progressed all the way into the top 10 in the ATP Tour rankings, and has earned the six seed in the US Open. He was a semifinalist in last year’s US Open, winning one of the best matches of 2019 over Gael Monfils in the quarters to get there. Berrettini should be another beneficiary of the fast court conditions in New York, and could swoop in to steal the tournament if Djokovic suffers a fall.

2020 US Open Draw Preview

The top quarter of the draw belongs to Novak Djokovic, and it looks to be set up for him to get through it without much resistance at all. The top seeded player that Djokovic could see up to the round of 16 is John Isner, who is seeded 16th and has dropped seven straight matches to Djokovic dating back to 2013. In the quarterfinal round, Djokovic could see Shapovalov or Goffin, but neither of those players figure to pose too big of a threat in a best-of-five set match against the world number one.

The second quarter of the draw could pit Tsitsipas and Zverev against one another in the quarterfinals if they are able to hold serve as the favorites in their matches leading up to that clash. Of course, both Tsitsipas and Zverev has fallen short against inferior competition in majors before, which could open the door for players like Diego Schwartzman and Hubert Hurkacz to make deep runs in their place.

If there was a quarter of the draw that would be deemed the Group of Death, it would be the third quarter of the draw. There are several players who could come out on top of this quarter, with Medvedev, Berrettini, Andrey Rublev and Grigor Dimitrov all occupying this section of the bracket. Medvedev would be the favorite to win this quarter, but Berrettini has experience moving through his quarter in the last US Open, while Rublev could be an attractive dark horse selection.

In the bottom quarter of the draw, Dominic Thiem is set up well to advance through to the quarterfinals. If he gets there, he would face a stiff challenge from a player like Bautista-Agut or Milos Raonic, both of whom have already had success on these courts in last week’s Cincinnati Open. Both Bautista-Agut and Raonic won the first set of their matches with Djokovic last week, and could very well advance to the final to seek revenge on the world number one in this tournament.

US Open 2020 Pick: Novak Djokovic -125 to win the tournament

Betting Pick: Novak Djokovic -125 to win the tournament

While taking a player to win a Grand Slam at this price is often considered a poor value, it feels entirely justified when dealing with Novak Djokovic. Without his top two competitors in the tournament, the rest of the field just has not had enough success against Djokovic to justify pulling the trigger on some of the longshots in the field.

Djokovic has won 23 out of 23 matches heading into the US Open. And with players having failed to beat him in both the best-of-three and best-of-five format this year, Djokovic does not seem beatable here. His COVID-19 scare earlier in the summer has not slowed down his on-court form and bettors can expect to cash in on Djokovic moving one step closer to catching Roger Federer for the most majors in tennis history.

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