Medvedev vs Van de Zandschulp Prediction: US Open Picks

September 7, 2021

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4:00 PM ET Sep 7
Daniil Medvedev vs Botic Van de Zandschulp
Under 27.5 games
-105
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Medvedev vs Van de Zandschulp is expected to be the least competitive quarterfinal at the 2021 US Open. Here, the second seed in the tournament takes on a qualifier who will look to shock the world on one of the sport’s grandest stages. In this round of tennis betting predictions, we look at the betting markets for this matchup and explore whether or not it is worth betting on a match with some jaw-dropping odds.

Daniil Medvedev vs Botic Van de Zandschulp

Medvedev vs Van de Zandschulp Pick: Under 27.5 games (-105)

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Daniil Medvedev has been dominant through the first four rounds of this year’s US Open, winning all four of his matches in straight sets. The Russian has yet to even see a tiebreak set, winning one set via bagel without experiencing any adversity to this point. He has been broken just three times in four matches, while breaking his opponents 24 over the same time frame.

Medvedev’s draw has been extremely fortunate thus far, as he faces a quarterfinal opponent who he is -10000 odds to defeat. With a draw like that, Medvedev might be able to get off the court quickly enough to stay fresh for the semifinals and the final. With players like Novak Djokovic or Sascha Zverev potentially on the horizon, minimizing court time will be crucial for the Russian number one.

Botic Van de Zandschulp has exceeded his wildest expectations to get to the quarterfinal of the US Open. The Dutchman made it through qualifying to get to the main draw, where he has taken down seeded players in Casper Ruud and Diego Schwartzman along with unseeded opponents in Facundo Bagnis and Carlos Taberner. But Van de Zandschulp will face a huge step up in competition on this particular surface in this match.

The draw for Van de Zandschulp worked out to where he happened to face four straight players whose best surface is clay. Taberner had been playing clay court challengers prior to the US Open instead of working on his hardcourt game. Ruud is a clay specialist still looking to make an impact on hard courts. And Bagnis and Schwartzman are Argentines who do their best work on the South American clay. Medvedev is a clay courter through and through, which doesn’t bode well for Van de Zandschulp.

These two opponents have yet to meet in their careers, but both have done very well on hard courts so far in 2021. Van de Zandschulp is 15-3 on outdoor hard courts this year, with the bulk of that success coming during this US Open and during the Australian Open qualifying in Doha. Medvedev, meanwhile, is 28-4 on outdoor hard courts in 2021, with all of those losses coming to top-25 players in Novak Djokovic, Roberto Bautista-Agut, Pablo Carreno-Busta and Andrey Rublev.

In this match, the Cinderella story of Botic Van de Zandschulp is going to come to an end thanks to the superb hardcourt play of Daniil Medvedev. Medvedev will cruise in straight sets here again, as his combination of defense and offensive tennis should be enough to put the Dutchman on the back foot from the start. This match should go under the 27.5 games line, as Medvedev should have at least one bagel or breadstick in him for the day.

Medvedev vs Van de Zandschulp Pick: Under 27.5 games (-105)

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US Open Betting FAQ

Who will Medvedev play in the semifinals?

Daniil Medvedev would play the winner of the Auger-Aliassime vs Alcaraz match if he gets through Van de Zandschulp. That match could be one of the most competitive of the tournament, which could put its winner into a tough spot against a player that should be relatively fresh in Medvedev. 

Who will win the Alcaraz vs Auger-Aliassime match?

Both players will get their looks at winning when Carlos Alcaraz takes on Felix Auger-Aliassime. But the experience of FAA should be enough to get him through, especially if his first serve continues to perform the way that it has over his last couple of matches. Alcaraz will certainly be capable of picking up the victory, though.

What kind of chance would Medvedev have against Djokovic?

If Medvedev reaches the final and plays Novak Djokovic, he would have a great chance to take home his first ever major trophy. Medvedev’s form on hard courts has been spectacular, and he hasn’t had to play any taxing matches thus far. If he can avoid any grueling affairs before the final, he could very well end Djokvic’s hopes at the Grand Slam.

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Jay
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is a sports writer and broadcaster from Albany, NY. He has covered sports betting and the gambling industry since 2013.