UFC Vegas 33 - Strickland vs Hall Predictions & More

July 29, 2021

UFC Vegas 33 comes at you 4PM EST this Saturday from the Apex in Las Vegas. UFC Vegas 33 comes on the heels of last week’s Vegas 32 Fight Night card, and we are certainly lacking the star power we got to enjoy last week. What this card lacks in star power, it did make for in quantity, at least initially. We have lost the co-main event and another fight this week, but still have 13 fights on tap. 

The main event will be a middleweight strikers battle between Sean Strickland and Uriah Hall. Strickland carries a -215 price tag and there is probably some marginal value on him at that price. He has looked very good since his return from his motorcycle accident, but not at all times. If he dispatched Jotko the way he should have in his last fight, I would be more eager to lay the -215. I somewhat confidently think he out volumes Hall and lands the cleaner shots throughout the fight, but am more compelled to sit out than to lay over 2:1. Hall does carry natural power and anything can happen over five rounds. 

The remainder of the card, including the co-main event, reads like a 12 fight undercard. We do not have star power at any level outside of the main event. Even without the name draw, we should dget a fun enough card. More than half the fights are predicted to end inside the distance by the oddsmakers, and we do have some very solid betting opportunities throughout the card. We will have four plays on this card, so let’s get to them. 

Cheyanne Buys -175 vs Gloria de Paula

Fight is at 115 lbs and is +200 to end inside the distance. 

Betting Pick: De Paula +145

Bryan Barbarena -265 vs Jason Witt

Fight is at 170 lbs and is -200 to end inside the distance. 

Betting Pick: Barbarena -265

Rafa Garcia -280 vs Chris Gruetzemacher

Fight is at 155 lbs and is -110 to end inside the distance. 

Betting Pick: Garcia ITD +150

Ashley Yoder -135 vs Jinh Yu Frey

Fight is at 115 lbs and is +250 to end inside the distance.

Betting Pick: Yoder -135

Other Fight Predictions

👊 Sean Strickland via decision over Uriah Hall

👊 Rani Yahya via submission over Kyung Ho Kang

👊 Niklas Stolze via decision over Jared Gooden

👊 Zarrukh Adashev via decision over Ryan Benoit

👊 Nicco Montano via submission over Wu Yanan

👊 Melsik Baghdasaryan via KO over Collin Anglin

👊 Danny Chavez via KO over Kai Kamaka

👊 Ronnie Lawrence via decision over Trevin Jones

👊 Phil Rowe via decision over Orion Cosce

Note: To keep from having too many and perhaps watered down plays, I’ve kept it to four of them on this card. However, all of Strickland, Yahya ITD, Adashev, Montano ITD, Baghdasaryan and Lawrence were close to being official bets. 

TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.