2020 ATP Rome Masters: Quarterfinal Picks

September 18, 2020

The quarterfinals of the ATP Rome Masters this year are especially significant, given that there are fewer clay court tournaments than usual this year on the ATP Tour. Without the string of clay court events that usually come before the French Open, players who have reached this stage in Rome will need to earn all of the ranking points that they can to give themselves a boost in the rankings with fewer opportunities to do so. And while Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal are expected to maintain their stranglehold on another high-profile tournament, there is one under the radar match that bettors should look at when making their ATP Rome betting picks for the quarters.

Matteo Berrettini vs. Casper Ruud

The lone Italian left in the draw after Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti were knocked out in the round of 16, Matteo Berrettini is continuing to prove that he is one of the best players in all of tennis. Despite not playing a competitive match on clay since last year’s French Open, Berrettini has rolled through both of his matches so far in Rome. He has won all four sets he has played, putting away Stefano Travaglia and Federico Coria in straight sets.

Berrettini dropped just six service games to get through Coria in his first match. His win over Travaglia was much more challenging, as he needed two tiebreaks to get past his countryman. Perhaps concerning heading into this match is the fact that Berrettini has been broken in three of the four sets he has played so far in Rome, even if he has returned the favor in each set while returning serve.

In 2019, when he played way more competitive matches on clay, Berrettini held serve in 85.9% of his service games on the surface. Only Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer and Sam Querrey posted better numbers in that department last year. But it should be noted that Berrettini’s opponent in this match was in the top-15 in holding serve on clay last year as well, which could be an issue given the Italian’s struggles keeping his service games clean so far in Rome.

Casper Ruud played 10 matches on clay early in 2020 before the COVID-19 pandemic shut the sport down. He took part in the South American clay court swing, winning the tournament in Buenos Aires and reaching the final in Santiago. Ruud is 11-2 on clay courts in competitive matches in 2020, including a 3-0 start in Rome that has featured wins over Karen Khachanov, Lorenzo Sonego and Marin Cilic.

Ruud’s win over Cilic yesterday was very impressive, as the Norwegian did not get broken once by the hard-hitting Croatian. After winning the first set 6-2, Ruud faced a tiebreak in the second set with the opportunity to close the match out in straight sets. He did just that, showing tremendous poise late in the breaker to win it 8-6 and move to the quarters.

Over the last year, Ruud has claimed breaks in over a quarter of his opponents’ service games on clay. Against the big serve of Berrettini, those breaks may be difficult to come by, but Coria and Travaglia both proved them to be attainable as players who are both inferior to Ruud. While Berrettini will give his all in his home country, expect Ruud to grind out a few breaks in this match and to advance to the semifinal, where a huge opportunity against Djokovic likely awaits.

Pick: Casper Ruud (+125) over Matteo Berrettini

  • Wide range of banking options
  • Well know brand
  • Great reward program

Get $1500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUS15
  • Generous bonus offers
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Easy registration process
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000

Bet365 Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • World biggest sportsbook
  • Top class user experience
  • Great live betting

Get 200/1 Odds free

Promo Сode:
None Needed
  • Great Loyalty Program
  • Generous Bonus
  • Wide Range of Banking Options

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Generous bonus offers
  • Strong presence in US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Easy registration process
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000
  • Great Loyalty Program
  • Wide Range of Banking Options
  • Generous Bonus

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB

Unibet Sportsbook

Rated 4.7 stars out of 5
4.7
  • Sign-up Bonus
  • Trustworthy brand
  • Great international betting coverage

Get $500 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Great Promotions
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Wide range of banking options
  • Great reward program
  • Well know brand

Get $1500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUS15
  • Strong presence in US
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Great promotions
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Easy registration process

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Top Class Customer Support
  • Both online and land-based sportsbook
  • Great Welcome Bonus

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
250MATCH
  • Well know brand
  • Wide range of banking options
  • Great reward program

Get $1500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUS15
  • Strong presence in US
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Easy registration process
  • Great promotions
  • Best Multi interface platform

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000
  • Great Promotions
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Great Promotions
  • Trustworthy brand

Get $5000 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUSRF
  • Well know brand
  • Wide range of banking options
  • Great reward program

Get $1500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUS15
  • Strong presence in US
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions
  • Easy registration process

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000

Unibet Sportsbook

Rated 4.7 stars out of 5
4.7
  • Trustworthy brand
  • Great international betting coverage
  • Sign-up Bonus

Get $500 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Great Promotions
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Well know brand
  • Great reward program
  • Wide range of banking options

Get $1500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUS15
  • Strong presence in US
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Great promotions
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Easy registration process

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000

MaximBet

Rated 4 stars out of 5
4.0
  • 1X Bonus Playthrough
  • Exciting Daily Promos
  • Fast payouts

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

Betsafe Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Great promotions
  • Easy registration process
  • Best Multi interface platform

Get $500 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Great promotions
  • Easy registration process
  • Best Multi interface platform

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Great Welcome Bonus
  • Both online and land-based sportsbook
  • Top Class Customer Support

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
250MATCH
  • Well know brand
  • Great reward program
  • Wide range of banking options

Get $1500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUS15
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Great promotions
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Easy registration process

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Great Promotions
  • Trustworthy brand
  • Wide range of betting options

Get $5000 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUSRF
  • Well know brand
  • Great reward program
  • Wide range of banking options

Get $1500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUS15
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Easy registration process
  • Great promotions
  • Best Multi interface platform

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000

Unibet Sportsbook

Rated 4.7 stars out of 5
4.7
  • Sign-up Bonus
  • Great international betting coverage
  • Trustworthy brand

Get $500 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Great Promotions
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Well know brand
  • Wide range of banking options
  • Great reward program

Get $1500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUS15
  • Generous bonus offers
  • Strong presence in US
  • Wide range of betting options

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Easy registration process
  • Great promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000

Unibet Sportsbook

Rated 4.7 stars out of 5
4.7
  • Trustworthy brand
  • Sign-up Bonus
  • Great international betting coverage

Get $500 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Easy registration process
  • Great promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000
  • Generous bonus offers
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
  • Great promotions
  • Easy registration process
  • Best Multi interface platform

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSBRF1000
  • Great Promotions
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

More Tennis Picks

Australian Open 2022 Preview
news
Djokovic vs Medvedev Prediction: US Open Final Betting Picks
news
Djokovic vs Zverev Prediction: US Open Semifinal Betting Picks
news
Medvedev vs Auger-Aliassime Prediction: US Open Betting Picks
news
Jay
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is a sports writer and broadcaster from Albany, NY. He has covered sports betting and the gambling industry since 2013.