UFC Vegas 34 - Cannonier vs Gastelum Predictions & More

August 19, 2021

We are back after an off week for UFC Vegas 34 from the Apex in Las Vegas. The fight card kicks off Saturday at 7PM.

Despite a week’s wait for this card, we do not get a high end fight night card. The main event is a solid one at middleweight, but the remainder of the card is lacking for quality of fighters. The order of the fights is also somewhat questionable, as there are at least three fights on the card superior to that of the co-main event. 

What this card lacks in highly ranked fighters and name value, it makes up for in matchmaking. With 12 fights scheduled and eleven lines released at the time of this writing, the largest favorite on the entire card sits at -190. If we can’t get a pay per view level fight night, we at least can take solace in a card full of close fights. 

We will not have a play on the main event, but it is an intriguing fight, no doubt. The biggest question in the fight is how often and for how long Kelvin Gastelum can successfully wrestle. While Jared Cannonier does have solid get ups, he can be taken down. A relentless and high cardio game plan from Gastelum is his easiest path to victory. On the Cannonier side, he is the more powerful striker of the two without a doubt, but volume is not always his best attribute. A higher pace would benefit him in a big way in this five round main event. We also have seen Cannonier smash inside leg kicks on south paws before, and that could really work to his benefit, as his kicks are nasty. With a fairly wide range of outcomes in this fight, it is one best to sit out of from a betting perspective. 

For our UFC betting plays, we will have three of them and all will be on the prelims portion of the card. We have three small to moderate favorites to attack, all of which seem to present very nice value. Let’s get to them.

Brian Kelleher -175 vs Dom Pilarte

Fight is at 135 lbs and is -175 to end inside the distance. 

Betting Pick: Kelleher -175

Roosevelt Roberts -150 vs Ignacio Bahamondes

Fight is at 155 lbs and is +105 to end inside the distance. 

Betting Pick: Roberts -150

Ramiz Brahimaj -135 vs Sasha Palatnikov

Fight is at 170 lbs and is -160 to end inside the distance. 

Betting Pick: Brahimaj via submission +190

Other Fight Predictions

👊 Jared Cannonier via KO over Kelvin Gastelum

👊 Mark O Madsen via decision over Clay Guida

👊 Chase Sherman via KO over Parker Porter

👊 Trevin Jones via submission over Saidyokub Kakhramonov 

👊 Austin Hubbard via decision over Vinc Pachel

👊 Alexandre Pantoja via decision over Brandon Royval

👊 Luis Saldana via decision over Austin Lingo

👊 Bea Malecki via decision over Josiuane Nunes

👊 William Knight via decision over Fabio Cherant

TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.