Shapovalov vs Bautista-Agut Prediction: Wimbledon Betting Picks

July 5, 2021

Shapovalov vs Bautista-Agut is set to be one of the more competitive matches from the Wimbledon Manic Monday slate. With both players being ranked in the top-15 in the world, both will feel like their next logical step is to enter the quarterfinals of this tournament. In today’s men’s tennis betting predictions, find out what our best bet is for this showdown between Denis Shapovalov and Roberto Bautista-Agut.

Denis Shapovalov vs Roberto Bautista-Agut

Shapovalov vs Bautista Agut Pick: Bautista-Agut to win (+123)

Denis Shapovalov has come a long way from a 2019 grass season that saw him go 0-3 in competitive matches. The Canadian has gone 7-2 on grass in 2021 and has won six of the eight sets he has played during this tournament. After beating Phillip Kohlschreiber in five sets to start his tournament, he got a walkover win over Pablo Andujar-Alba in round two before beating Andy Murray in straight sets.

For Shapovalov, the question will be whether he can perform well against a higher level of opponent than he’s faced in this tournament thus far. He struggled against Kohlschreiber before making quick work of an opponent in Andy Murray who carries a big name but was struggling well before he met Shapovalov.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has continued his history of strong performances at Wimbledon in the first week of this tournament. He has defeated John Millman, Miomir Kecmanovic and Dominic Koepfer over the last three matches to reach the round of 16. And while none of those players are among the elites in the sport, they are all tough outs, with the Spaniard grinding out victories against each one.

The key to this match for Bautista-Agut will be maintaining his consistency. He is definitely the less explosive player in this matchup, but is less prone to mental mistakes as well. This match is going to come down to how well RBA can absorb the pace of Shapovalov and coax him into errors by drawing out points.

This is the first ever Shapovalov vs Bautista-Agut matchup, as the two have never played on any surface previously. All-time, Bautista-Agut holds a 42-20 record on grass, while Shapovalov enters this match at 23-14 on the surface. The Spaniard definitely has the better track record on grass, which could propel him to victory here.

In a match like this, where there isn’t a ton to go on in terms of a historical record between the players, there is value in the underdog with the better record on this surface. Expect Bautista-Agut to grind things out and for his superior stability to be the reason he outlasts Shapovalov and makes it to the quarters.

Shapovalov vs Bautista Agut Pick: Bautista-Agut to win (+123)

Wimbledon Betting FAQ

Is anyone going to beat Djokovic this week?

It is highly unlikely that anyone is going to beat Novak Djokovic this week. But there are a few players who could get the job done, like Roger Federer, Daniil Medvedev or Matteo Berrettini. But it would take a Herculean effort from any of those players to take down the world’s number one.

Who is the best value bet remaining in the tournament?

The best value bet left in the tournament is Matteo Berrettini. His outright price to win Wimbledon has barely changed since the beginning of the tournament, as he has gone from 12/1 odds before the start of the vent to 11/1 odds heading into the second week of the tournament.

Can Hurkacz shock Medvedev?

In what should be a very entertaining match, Hubert Hurkacz will look to surprise Daniil Medvedev. But Hurkacz lacks the explosive nature to challenge the defensive tennis that the Russian brings to the table. Hurkacz should see his journey at Wimbledon end in the round of 16.

Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is a sports writer and broadcaster from Albany, NY. He has covered sports betting and the gambling industry since 2013.