• Sat
    Jun 19
  • 12:30 am
    BKN
    MIL
    -120
    100
  • 12:00 am
    NYI
    TBL
    125
    -147
  • Fri
    Jun 18
  • 2:00 am
    LAC
    UTA
    100
    -120
  • 12:00 am
    MTL
    VGK
    140
    -167
  • Thu
    Jun 17
  • FINAL
    NYI
    TBL
    118
    -139
  • Wed
    Jun 16
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -278
    230
  • Tue
    Jun 15
  • FINAL
    BKN
    MIL
    125
    -149
  • Mon
    Jun 14
  • FINAL
    VGK
    MTL
    -250
    200
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    120
    -145
  • Sun
    Jun 13
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    105
    -130
  • FINAL
    TBL
    NYI
    -189
    155
  • FINAL
    MIL
    BKN
    110
    -135
  • Fri
    Jun 11
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    -130
    105
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    100
    -120
  • Thu
    Jun 10
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -149
    125
  • FINAL
    VGK
    COL
    -114
    -103
  • Wed
    Jun 9
  • FINAL
    PHX
    DEN
    -278
    210
  • FINAL
    NYI
    BOS
    118
    -139
  • Tue
    Jun 8
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -175
    145
  • FINAL
    COL
    VGK
    -145
    120
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -179
    148

Matt Schnell vs Rogerio Bontorin Predictions

May 13, 2021

UFC
clock
10:30 PM ET May 15
Matt Schnell vs Rogerio Bontorin
Bontorin
+145
Bet
TJ
TJ

Matt Schnell -165 vs Rogerio Bontorin

Betting Pick: Bontorin +145

Fight is at 135 lbs and is -120 to end inside the distance. 

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UFC 262 Predictions

This fight is the one taking the place of the postponed Hermansson vs Shahbazyan fight. This pair of flyweights fight up a weight class in this UFC 262 matchup. 

✅ Matt Schnell is a quick and rangy striker. However, that striking skill set is not a very high end one, and he does very much lack a power element to his game. When his fights are a striking affair, he is essentially point fighting and not truly threatening a finish or significant damage. What he does lack in the power department, he makes up for in a technical battle. That said, technical is not the type of battle he is entering on Saturday. 

✅ Rogerio Bontorin is a stocky flyweight. He will likely be the beneficiary of the weight class change for this fight, as he is certainly the fighter that cuts more weight. Bontorin’s best quality is his grappling, and he knows exactly what his strength is. He is one of the fighters that are so comfortable with their BJJ game, they press forward, wing bombs with no worries of being taken down in the process. If the pressure brings the distance being closed and an opportunity for a takedown in their own right, all the better. Bontorin has taken down every UFC opponent not named Ray Borg, so I do expect him to get the fight to the floor, and more than once, if necessary. He will have all the advantages on the floor, although it may not appear that way on the surface. Schnell has a pair of triangle submission wins to his UFC record, but those came against very different and more mistake prone opponents. 

✅ I fully expect this fight to play out with Bontorin taking away the advantages Schnell has. He will constantly close the distance and he will be the fighter throwing with fight ending intentions. If and when the fight hits the mat, that is also advantageous for Bontorin, and I believe the wrong fighter to be favored in this matchup. Take Bontorin as a value underdog.

 

Betting Pick: Bontorin +145

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TJ
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.