• Sat
    Jun 19
  • 12:30 am
    BKN
    MIL
    -120
    100
  • 12:00 am
    NYI
    TBL
    125
    -147
  • Fri
    Jun 18
  • 2:00 am
    LAC
    UTA
    100
    -120
  • 12:00 am
    MTL
    VGK
    140
    -167
  • Thu
    Jun 17
  • FINAL
    NYI
    TBL
    118
    -139
  • Wed
    Jun 16
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -278
    230
  • Tue
    Jun 15
  • FINAL
    BKN
    MIL
    125
    -149
  • Mon
    Jun 14
  • FINAL
    VGK
    MTL
    -250
    200
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    120
    -145
  • Sun
    Jun 13
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    105
    -130
  • FINAL
    TBL
    NYI
    -189
    155
  • FINAL
    MIL
    BKN
    110
    -135
  • Fri
    Jun 11
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    -130
    105
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    100
    -120
  • Thu
    Jun 10
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -149
    125
  • FINAL
    VGK
    COL
    -114
    -103
  • Wed
    Jun 9
  • FINAL
    PHX
    DEN
    -278
    210
  • FINAL
    NYI
    BOS
    118
    -139
  • Tue
    Jun 8
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -175
    145
  • FINAL
    COL
    VGK
    -145
    120
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -179
    148

Karol Rosa vs Joselyne Edwards Predictions

February 3, 2021

UFC

Karol Rosa -240 vs Joselyne Edwards

Fight is at 135 lbs and is +175 to end inside the distance.

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UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov Betting Picks

Betting play: Edwards +190

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Betting play: Edwards +190

This is the fight on the UFC Vegas 18 card that I believe to be mis-lined, and in a huge way. While I expected to see Rosa favored at some level, the fact that she sits at -240 and that the line continues to climb is simply egregious.

Joselyne Edwards made her debut just three weeks ago on Fight Island, and the striking was crisp and powerful as I expected, but I had questions leading up to that fight. I was unsure if her grappling game would hold up against Wu Yanan, and she certainly answered those questions. Not surprisingly, she out struck Yanan, but more surprisingly, she out grappled her as well, which gives me a good deal more confidence in Edwards in this matchup, and I’ll explain why.

Rosa is a competent enough offensive striker, but she is extremely hittable, and I think Edwards takes full advantage of that. For reference as to just how hittable Rosa is, in her UFC debut against a grappler fighting up a weight class in Lara Procopio, she absorbed 165 significant strikes and dropped a scorecard to Procopio. This is the type of encounter rounded strikers salivate over, and that will be Edwards.

Edwards is far more defensively responsible, and she will get off the cleaner strikes at a much higher rate, and I foresee Rosa being extremely frustrated in the striking. When her frustration comes, she very well may turn to wrestling, and she is a credentialed grappler. The Yanan fight gives me a strong level of confidence Edwards will be able to counteract that plan B from Rosa and keep the fight to a striking based fight.

All in all, this is a mis-lined matchup and Edwards is certainly the best play and best underdog on the card.

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TJ
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.