• Thu
    May 20
  • 11:30 pm
    TOR
    MTL
    -222
    180
  • 2:30 am
    COL
    STL
    -233
    185
  • 1:00 am
    EDM
    WIN
    -147
    120
  • Tue
    May 18
  • 12:00 am
    CAR
    NSH
    -196
    160
  • Sun
    May 16
  • 11:30 pm
    FLA
    TBL
    -110
    -110
  • 4:00 pm
    PIT
    NYI
    -147
    123
  • FINAL
    MIL
    MIA
    -161
    135
  • Sat
    May 15
  • FINAL
    HOU
    LAC
    425
    -588

Julian Marquez vs Maki Pitolo Predictions

February 10, 2021

UFC

Julian Marquez -160 vs Maki Pitolo

Betting Play: Marquez +160

Fight is at 170 lbs and is -170 to end inside the distance

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Easy registration process
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode: USSB600

Special UFC 258 Offer: Join DraftKings Sportsbook, bet $1 and get a 100/1 Odds Boost or bet $1 and get a $100 Bonus for this weekend’s UFC 258 action. Read how to claim this promo offer here.

sddefault.jpg

UFC 258 Preview: Usman vs Burns Betting Picks

Betting Play: Marquez +160

If you’ve followed this UFC picks column for any amount of time, you know how I feel about Maki Pitolo, and what I see as huge limitations in his game. He has dropped three of four fights under the UFC banner and it is important to note the one win comes with an asterkisk.

Charles Byrd retired after his loss to Pitolo and the remainder of the body of work from this fighter is underwhelming. He was beaten handily by Callan Potter in his debut, a fighter who was knocked out in the first round of his other UFC bouts. He was submitted by Darren Stewart, who previously had no career submissions and was handled easily by Impa Kasangany.

On the Marquez side, he is coming off a two year layoff due to a rather rare injury he suffered in his most recent fight against Alessio Di Chirico. He had a full torn lat muscle and needed multiple surgeries in his recovery. Now back to full time training, the layoff has given us a value opportunity, as I believe this line would be significantly wider had Marquez been on the scene in recent months.

Dating back to 2016 and excluding the loss in his last fight in which he was injured, Marquez had won five straight fights via finish inside the first two rounds, and both of his UFC fights. Included in that was a KO of Phil Hawes who looks quite dangerous, and a submission of Darren Stewart.

I would give Marquez the edge in every skill based facet in this fight. The one area in which Marquez may be at a disadvantage is activity. Pitolo may be the busier fighter which would put him in line for a decision win should a finish not come.

That said, I believe a finish comes and I believe this UFC 258 fight was made to be a stepping stone for Marquez. While his +160 ITD line is not the most value laden we’ve seen, it speak volumes to the ease in which bookmakers and bettors believe he will be able to finish Pitolo. Marquez ITD at +160 is the play.

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions
  • Easy registration process

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode: USSB600
TJ
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.