Chiefs vs Buccaneers Super Bowl Predictions

February 3, 2021


Super Bowl LV Preview: Buccaneers vs Chiefs Betting Picks

Chiefs vs Buccaneers Predictions: Chiefs -3 and over 56

Chiefs vs Buccaneers is an inter-conference matchup, with more on the line in this particular matchup. This game was already played once this season, but the second iteration this season happens to be in the Super Bowl. With everything on the line, this is the most important Chiefs vs Bills game we will see.

With less than 15 games played in the historical series, the Buccaneers carry a slight advantage in the historical splits, but with the teams being within just one game of each other, there is no lean to make on the game in terms of historical performance. Perhaps more telling is the matchup from just nine weeks ago played in the same stadium, that the Chiefs won 27-24.

The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Buffalo Bills and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Green Bay Packers to earn the right to play in Super Bowl LV.

Super Bowl LV will feature the first time a team plays a home game. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the Kansas City Chiefs at Raymond James Stadium after each team won their respective Conference Championship game.

Super Bowl LV will feature the greatest of all time, Tom Brady, against Patrick Mahomes, the Super Bowl LIV MVP and the player who is currently playing the game at a higher level than it has ever been played. This game truly sets up to be one of the best of all time and one that will have no shortage of points scored.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Pick

The picks: Chiefs -3 and over 56

Why bet the Chiefs and the over?

Elite trio with even more help on the way: The Chiefs passing game is all about their elite of the elite trio of offensive skill position players. Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce have become the inarguable top players at quarterback and tight end in the league. Tyreek Hill is in the conversation for the top wide receiver in the league, but that is slightly more arguable.

In any event, attempting to stop the precision and ability to make any throw from Mahomes while these players are consistently open and chewing up yards is essentially an unfair task for any defensive unit.

Tyreek Hill is unquestionably the player to watch in the Super Bowl. He had a nice 269 receiving yards and three scores in the first matchup with the Buccaneers.

Additionally, Sammy Watkins is expected to be back for the Chiefs. Watkins brings more competence to the second wide receiver spot and he was a key part of the Chiefs Super Bowl win last season.

Buccaneers schedule questions remain: It is not overly arguable that the Chiefs have had the tougher schedule and path to the Super Bowl, yet the Chiefs will end the season with the league’s best record, whether they win the Super Bowl or not.

The Buccaneers were just 1-4 against other playoff teams in the regular season, but their three playoff wins have evened that record at 4-4. The Chiefs on the other hand were a perfect 4-0 against other playoff teams and adding in the playoffs, have improved to 6-0 on their path to the Super Bowl.

Buccaneers secondary won’t keep up: Patrick Mahomes threw for 462 yards and three scores in the first matchup, and the Chiefs will be able to move the ball at will.

The Buccaneers are stout against the run but have difficulties on the back end, and the Chiefs are one of the few teams or are the only team that has essentially no need to mix in a running game to keep their passing game humming.

While the Buccaneers will score points to be sure, they will not be able to keep pace with the Chiefs, who are the best bet to win the Super Bowl.

General Info about Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Where can you watch Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

You can tune into this game on CBS networks.

Where can you bet on Buccaneers vs Chiefs? recommends BetMGM Sportsbook to get the best odds and betting options on Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl.

Where do the Chiefs play their home games?

The Chiefs play their home games at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri

Where do the Buccaneers play their home games?

The Buccaneers play their home games at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida

Buccaneers vs Chiefs Predictions

With no trend or even enough sample size to lean on history for this Buccaneers vs Chiefs Super Bowl matchup, we need to go with other factors for our predictions. With Tom Brady taking the reigns of the Bucs this season, historical splits prior to 2020 are right out the window.

Top 3 NFL Betting Sites

Chiefs vs Bucs Against the Spread Predictions

Chiefs vs Bucs against the spread predictions refer to whether the Chiefs or Buccaneers win or lose by the necessary points to cover the point spread. For a hypothetical line, we will use Chiefs -3. This means a wager on the Chiefs would require them to win by more than three points to be paid out as a winner. A wager on the Buccaneers, at +3, would require them to either win the game outright or to lose by fewer than three points to be paid out as a winner.

Tampa Bay Bucs vs Kansas City Chiefs Over / Under Betting

Tampa Bay Bucs vs Kansas City Chiefs Over or Under betting is a way of wagering on the contest without needing to pick the winner of the game.

Instead, these wagers are against a set total of points scored by both teams in the game. For a hypothetical example, we will use a total set at 56 points. Over/Under wagers on this Chiefs vs Bucs contest would be betting over or under 56 combined points for the two teams.

There are multiple factors that go into Over/Under wagering, including pace (expected plays per game), rushing and passing competence and how that matches up with opponents and potential for shootouts.

See above if there is a best Over/Under play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Moneyline Predictions

Money Line wagering on NFL is a fun way to bet on one team or the other, while taking the point spread out of play. Instead of laying or taking the points on the spread, you can lay odds on the favorite or take odds on the underdog to simply win the game outright.

If you are looking to wager on a game, but want to avoid the laying or taking points and simply pick the winner, a Money Line wager is worth considering. For an example of how a Money Line wager differs from an against the spread wager, we will use our Chiefs -3 hypothetical example from above. Instead of the standard -110 odds on an against the spread play, the Chiefs can be bet on to simply win outright while laying odds. The Buccaneers can be bet on to win the game outright while getting odds.

In our hypothetical, we would expect to have to lay about -170 on the Chiefs and expect to get about +150 on the Buccaneers.  

The historical splits of Buccaneers vs Chiefs are essentially useless in this matchup, and picking a Super Bowl winner will require other avenues of research. There are hours of research required for successful NFL predictions, and we are here to provide that for you, with a conclusion summed up and bottom lined.

Check above for the goods on who to play in this Chiefs vs Buccaneers Super Bowl matchup.  

Bucs vs Chiefs Odds

The NFL has often has significant line movement when a piece of news breaks, for instance a significant player being ruled out. With the Super Bowl unlikely to have any shocking news leading up to kickoff, we can expect the lines to stay where they currently sit. NFL odds generally only shift a huge amount in a short period of time in reaction to the news cycle. Unlike NBA, fluctuation and movement due to heavy bets on one side do not generally shift a betting line in a brief period. Chiefs vs Buccaneers, like most NFL matchups a, will draw a significant betting market, but the bets would have to be extremely one sided to see significant line movement. This is especially true of the Super Bowl as it is the most wagered on sporting event each year.

Live Streaming Chiefs vs Buccaneers Super Bowl LV

There are currently no sports books in the United States that offer streaming of NFL games. This will almost certainly change in the future, but for now we will need to turn to CBS for streaming of the Super Bowl. CBS All Access is a subscription based service costing $5.99 monthly, but for those who only want to stream the Super Bowl, there is a free trial available that must be cancelled after sign up.

TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.