US Masters – Odds and Predictions

12 November 2020

Golf PGA Tour Betting

With the Masters being flipped to November this year, we get a yearly iconic event, just roughly seven months later than what we are accustomed to. While I admittedly have not been dialed in on golf this year, I did want to share some thoughts on who the best bets might be, and additionally who might bring some long shot magic. 

Let’s start with the top five of the list (full list below).

Bryson DeChambeau 8-1
Dustin Johnson 9-1
Jon Rahm 11-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Rory McIlroy 14-1

No one quite jumps off the page like Dustin Johnson. I still believe him to have the most dominant game of anyone on tour when he is playing well, and that has been the case recently.

In six starts since August, he has not finished worse than sixth in any tournament and in those six starts he has two wins, including the Tour Championship. Also included in those six starts are three runner up finishes, including the PGA Championship and BMW Championship. Last year’s runner up finish at the Masters was a step towards earning his second major. He has a US Open win and has finished second in all three other Majors. Johnson is the best bet of the short odds players. 

The next best bet after Johnson would be Jon Rahm, at slightly longer odds. He has also played high end golf as of late, and will do well tee to green, which is historically where the Masters is won.

Rahm has also found success of late, notching two wins in his last nine starts and four top six finishes in his last six starts. There is no science or statistics behind this part, but there’s probably no one other than Rahm in the field I want my money on if it comes down to a clutch putt. 

Moving further down the list, we see both two time champion Bubba Watson and 2018 winner Patrick Reed both listed at 28-1. While we cannot project either as better options than the shorter odds players in front of them, there is reason for optimism. The previous course output cannot be questioned for either, and both are playing their best golf of the year recently. There is value on the return on both of these former champs. 

Here are the most recent odds, courtesy of William Hill Sportsbook

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Hideki Matsuyama 25-1Ian Poulter 100-1Justin Harding 300-1
Tony Finau 25-1Kevin Kisner 125-1Max Homa 300-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1Danny Willett 125-1Tyler Duncan 400-1
Tyrrell Hatton 28-1Si-Woo Kim 125-1Andrew Landry 400-1
Bubba Watson 28-1Brandt Snedeker 125-1Jazz Janewattananond 500-1
Patrick Reed 28-1Matt Kuchar 125-1Fred Couples 500-1
Collin Morikawa 30-1Brendon Todd 125-1Nate Lashley 500-1
Jason Day 33-1Erik van Rooyen 125-1C.T. Pan 500-1
Webb Simpson 33-1Lanto Griffin 150-1Shugo Imahira 500-1
Matthew Wolff 33-1Corey Conners 150-1Andrew Putnam 500-1
Tiger Woods 35-1Charl Schwartzel 150-1Sung-Hoon Kang 500-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1Sebastian Munoz 150-1Jimmy Walker 500-1
Adam Scott 40-1Henrik Stenson 150-1Bernhard Langer 500-1
Tommy Fleetwood 40-1Matt Wallace 150-1John Augenstein 750-1
Scottie Scheffler 50-1Marc Leishman 150-1Vijay Singh 1000-1
Louis Oosthuizen 50-1Billy Horschel 150-1Andy Ogletree 1000-1
Justin Rose 50-1Zach Johnson 150-1Lukas Michel 1000-1
Paul Casey 55-1Victor Perez 200-1Mike Weir 1000-1
Sergio Garcia 60-1Christiaan Bezuidenhout 200-1Abel Gallegos 1000-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 60-1Bernd Wiesberger 200-1Yuxin Lin 1000-1
Shane Lowry 66-1Kevin Na 200-1James Sugrue 1500-1
Rickie Fowler 66-1Byeong Hun An 200-1Jose Maria Olazabal 2000-1
Sung-Jae Im 66-1Dylan Frittelli 250-1Sandy Lyle 2000-1
Cameron Smith 70-1Lucas Glover 250-1Larry Mize 2000-1

Enjoy this November Masters tournament my friends!

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