UFC Vegas 58 Picks & Promos
July 7, 2022
✅ Dos Anjos has found huge success wrestling since his return to lightweight from welterweight.
✅ Dos Anjos is the superior grappler that will have the superior gas tank later in the fight.
✅ Johnson has been finished in the second round or later in four of seven losses.
✅ Mullarkey recently earned finishes of Devonte Smith and Khama Worthy. They are similar if not better strikers than Johnson.
UFC Vegas 58 is a middling Fight Night Card on the heels of UFC 276. The card will be streaming live on ESPN+. The card takes place in Las Vegas, Nevada, and returns to the Apex this week after being at T-Mobile Arena last week.
The 12 fight card takes place on Saturday, July 9th, 2022. The first fighters will make the walk to the octagon at 6PM EST.
The card features a main event in the lightweight division with between two fighters with real championship aspirations. One time champ Rafael Dos Anjos eyes another title run in his third fight since returning to lightweight. Rafael Fiziev is eyeing his first title run. The co-main event is a clash between up and comers Caio Borralho and Armen Petrosyan.
As always, check out all of our UFC Picks.
We will have a pair of bets for UFC Vegas 58. Both of them are eligible for the promo above from Caesars that will net you a completely risk free bet for up to $1500.
✅ Pick - Rafael Dos Anjos +180 over Rafael Fiziev
This fight sets up as a striker vs grappler matchup. Fiviev is one of the best and cleanest strikers in the entire promotion. He will have a striking edge in essentially every fight he enters. What he will not have here are cardio or grappling edges. We have seen Fiziev be the technically superior striker, but we have also seen him slow down in third rounds. Conversely, we have seen RDA go five rounds countless times and not slow down. What's more, RDA's wrestling has returned since being outsized at welterweight and moving back to lightweight. I expect Fiziev to win with his striking early, but also for RDA to wear on the Fiziev gas tank. I expect takedowns to come much easier as the fight progresses and for RDA to progressively take over this fight late. Seeing as Fiziev's striking prowess does not include massive power, I will be taking the underdog to win the fight in the later rounds.
✅ Pick - Jamie Mullarkey ITD -105 over Michael Johnson
Jamie Mullarkey enters this fight off a loss to rapidly ascending Jalin Turner after notching impressive wins. Conversely, Michael Johnson is entering off a win against Alan Patrick after four straight losses. Now Johnson sees an uptick in competition while Mullarkey sees his take a dip. Mullarkey is -235 on the flat line and that is probably not wide enough. Mullarkey has had similar fights recently and won them against strikers Devonte Smith and Khama Worthy. Mullarkey will not let this be a clean striking affair as Johnson will prefer. Mullarkey has the power edge and will grind and make it dirty, and perhaps even put his wrestling to work. Mullarkey has advantages wherever this fight takes place. Additionally Johnson has been finished in the second round or later in five of seven losses, and one more would be far from surprising. Take Mullarkey ITD.