UFC Vegas 51 Picks & Promos
April 13, 2022
✅ Muhammad is the better wrestler, but make no mistake just how elite Luque is with front chokes. He has caught five opponents in such submissions in the UFC.
✅ Luque has the skill set to neutralize essentially everything in Muhammad's game.
✅ The one edge Laramie may have is as a wrestler, but the grappling of Sabatini will neutralize that.
✅ This fight will hit the floor, and that is where Sabatini is most dangerous. The most likely outcome is a Sabatini submission.
UFC Vegas 51 is a Fight Night card streaming live on ESPN+ from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card marks the first of three straight that will originate from the Apex.
The 14 fight card takes place on Saturday, April 16th, 2022. The first fighters will make the walk to the octagon at 530PM EST. You can stream the entirety of the card live on ESPN+.
Be sure to check out the promo offer below for this card. You can get a risk-free bet of up to $1100 on any of these fights! Even if you lose, Caesar's will credit you with the amount of your first wager in free bets!
As always, check out all of our UFC Picks.
We will have three bets for UFC Vegas 51. Any of them are eligible for the promo offer from Caesars. Simply follow the link.
✅ Pick - Vincente Luque -185 over Belal Muhammad
Luque won the first matchup with Muhammad from six years ago by KO in the first round. While I expect the fight to be much longer and more competitive this time, I expect the results to be the same. Luque is the far more damaging striker and should have a volume edge as well. Luque has elite front chokes and will threaten to end the fight each and every time Muhammad looks to wrestle.
✅ Pick - Pat Sabatini ITD +125 over TJ Laramie
Laramie will struggle in this matchup as the only advantage he may have is not really an advantage. Laramie probably has a wrestling edge but Sabatini has a large grappling edge. No matter who hits the floor while on top, Sabatini will find his way to top position or find a submission from his back. Sabatini is also the better striker that has all bases covered in this matchup.
✅ Pick - Alatangheili -185 over Kevin Croom
Alatangheili is more skilled in all areas of this fight. Kevin Croom is a fighter that tries to make up for deficiencies with a storm at the onset of fights, but that will work against him here. We have seen Croom tire before and that will happen again against the durable Alatangheili. This may not be the most exciting fight, particularly the longer it goes, but it should amount to a relatively lopsided result.