UFC Vegas 43 Predictions

November 18, 2021

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11:00 PM ET Nov 20
Ketlen Vieira vs Miesha Tate
Tate
+100
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11:00 PM ET Nov 20
Rani Yahya vs Kyung Ho Kang
Yahya
-105
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11:00 PM ET Nov 20
Adrian Yanez vs Davey Grant
Yanez ITD
-125
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UFC Vegas 43 takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The card starts at 3PM EST and is scheduled for 12 fights. 

This is a middle of the road Fight Night card. There are quality fights throughout the card, but the main event may be lacking for excitement. That is not to say the fight is not well made. We get two fighters with very similar skill sets, and we will have a bet on that fight. The co-main event between Sean Brady and Michael Chiesa will be must watch. It is the stiffest test to date for Brady. It will be interesting to see if he is rightfully favored. 

There are a handful of potential plays that nearly made the cut. Loma Lookboonmee is a very live underdog that should win the striking battle with Loopy Godniez. It will be up to Lookboonmee to stuff takedowns. Both Cody Durden and Luana Pinheiro are in great spots to find finishes. Each have respective value on their ITD lines. 

We additionally have three recommended plays for this card. Let's get to our UFC Predictions.

Ketlen Vieira -120 vs Miesha Tate

✅ Ketlen Vieira can match Miesha Tate skill for skill in the early portions of this fight. She may not even just match Tate, she might outdo her in the first round. Vieira has more power in the stand up and is probably ever so slightly better in the wrestling and grappling. However, Vieira has shown us she has a time limit on her effectiveness. 

✅ Vieira has lost at least four Round 3's in UFC competition. She certainly has a gas tank that slows, if not gives out completely. With Round 3 having been such a problem for her, it stands to reason she gasses completely in Rounds 4 and 5. 

✅ Miesha Tate will be able to keep the same steady pace and will be able to effectively grapple for five rounds. I believe she will be able to completely have her way with an exhausted Vieira later on in the fight. The first two rounds are liekly to be close, but then the tide shifts heavily for Tate. 

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Betting Pick: Tate +100

Rani Yahya -105 vs Kyung Ho Kang

✅ This grappler vs grappler matchup has a decided edge on the Rani Yahya side. He is a BJJ world champion that has translated that skill set to MMA. He has 21 submissions in MMA, including 12 in the UFC. The worries for him always come in the standup, but that is not much of a worry against this opponent. 

✅ A KO on either side in this fight would be one of the most shocking things we will see. Kang has just two to his name and none in the last decade. Yahya has never scored a KO. 

✅ Kang is a fighter that has always looked to grapple in the UFC, and has had success. He has submitted four lower level opponents. He may be taken down by Yahya no matter what, but it is quite possible Kang is happy to grapple with Yahya. That will not end well for him. A submission would likely follow, but even if not, Yahya will bag rounds on the floor. 

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Betting Pick: Yahya -105

Adrian Yanez -305 vs Davey Grant

✅ Adrian Yanez is in the midst of a real ascension, and will not be slowing down any time soon. In four fights under the UFC banner, he has a perfect 100% KO rate. He has a knockdown in every single fight, amassing five in total. The crisp and powerful striking he brings is levels above what Grant has ever seen. 

✅ Grant got two KO wins and is feeling the residual effects of the step up in competition. He was handily beaten by Marlon Vera in his last fight, and that will happen again. He will need to take this loss before once again being matched up with opponents he can beat. The worst part for Grant is he has never faced anyone with the sting Yanez has in his punches. 

✅ Despite Grant never being knocked out, I believe that streak comes to an end. There is always an uneasy feeling when a fighter has shown durability and we are still betting on them to be KO'd. There is truly an extra something on the strikes from Yanez and I am happy to take the value of -120 on his ITD line. 

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Betting Pick: Yanez ITD -120
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TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today. <a href="https://twitter.com/tjcalkins/">@tjcalkins</a>