UFC 275 Picks & Promos
June 9, 2022
✅ Kang would have a wrestling path to victory, but he is not a relentless wrestler and will not notch the control time needed to win.
✅ Danaa will own the striking in this fight and comes at a favorable price tag.
✅ Bontorin arguably beat Brandon Royval in his most recent fight, a superior fighter to Kape.
✅ The grappling initiated by Bontorin will weigh more on the outcome than the striking edge for Kape.
✅ Allen's striking is catching up with his grappling and he will have a large edge in the stand up.
✅ Allen may not be the better wrestler but he is the superior grappler. He will be happy to fight on the mat if Malkoun opts for it.
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UFC 275 is a fantastic pay per view card streaming live on ESPN+. The card takes place in Singapore. The fighters will be 12 hours ahead of the East Coast in the US.
The 12 fight card takes place on Saturday, June 11th, 2022. The first fighters will make the walk to the octagon at 630PM EST. You can stream the early prelims, prelims and purchase the pay per view poertion of the card live on ESPN+. The prelims will also air on ESPN. The card features a main event in the light heavyweight division with the title on the line. Glover Texeira puts up his belt against surging Jiri Prochazka. The co-main event is also a title fight. Valentina Shevchenko faces Taila Santos. This is the closest thing Shevchenko has had to real competition in some time. However, that means her betting line is around -700 instead of north of -1000.
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We will have three bets for UFC 275. Each and every one of them are eligible for the promo offers from DraftKings. Simply follow the links.
✅ Pick - Rogerio Bontorin +185 over Manel Kape
This is a very sound matchup at flyweight, albeit one with a betting line set far too wide. Manel Kape will have the striking advantage in this fight. He is the cleaner striker and will land with more frequency. That however is where the advantages end for Kape. Bontorin is certainly not as polished as a striker, but he will have the power edge if the striking gets to be a brawl. Bontorin is also the superior wrestler and grappler. I believe that is the area where the fight will be decided. Bontorin will be able to land takedowns and will have a significant advantage on the mat.
✅ Pick - Brendan Allen -300 over Jacob Malkoun
This fight is also mislined, but this one is not nearly wide enough. Brendan Allen is multiple levels above Jacob Malkoun. Allen's striking is still far from elite, but he will have a large advantage in that department in this fight. He is also the superior grappler and submission artist. Malkoun has wrestling but that is about it. Malkoun will have to choose between getting lit up on the feet or going to the ground with a fighter likely to submit him. There are little to no paths to victory for Malkoun in this matchup.
✅ Pick - Batgarel Danaa -150 over Kyung Ho Kang
We get to get one back on Batgarel Danaa after he lost on an extremely low percentage spinning back fist knock out in his last fight. Danaa was cruising in that fight and he will have a similar path in this one. Kyung Ho Kang has no power at all in his striking. Danaa will own the stand up of this. What Danaa will have to be aware of is the intermittent shot from Kang. Kang will want to get the fight down, but he may have limited success. He simply does not shoot enough takedowns and Danaa will be able to return to his feet. Take Danaa on the favorable line.