UFC 267 Predictions

October 28, 2021

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5:00 PM ET Oct 30
Petr Yan vs Cory Sandhagen
Sandhagen
+190
Caesars
TJ
TJ
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5:00 PM ET Oct 30
Alexander Volkov vs Marcin Tybura
Volkov ITD
+125
Bet
TJ
TJ
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3:00 PM ET Oct 30
Amanda Ribas vs Virna Jandiroba
Ribas
-165
betway
TJ
TJ
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2:30 PM ET Oct 28
Albert Duraev vs Roman Kopylov
Duraev ITD
-135
draftkings
TJ
TJ
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2:30 PM ET Oct 30
Shamil Gamzatov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
Oleksiejczuk ITD
+330
Fanduel
TJ
TJ
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UFC 267 takes place on fight island in Abu Dhabi. The card starts at 1030AM EST and is scheduled for 15 fights. 

This card is an absolute banger, and what's more, it is the first of two the same in consecutive weeks. We have 15 higher end and mostly well made fights. Those fights are punctuated with two title fights. We will have a bet on one of them, but no play for Blachowicz vs Texeira. I do believe the line to be too wide, but not to a point where I am comfortable enough to bet Texeira. While Blachowicz does not have a power advantage as some might say, he is the better striker. If Texeira is able to earn takedowns, he will have a much easier fight ahead of him. If he is forced to stay upright, the fight will likely progressively slip away from him. 

We do have five recommended plays for this card. Let's get to our UFC bets

Petr Yan-235 vs Cory Sandhagen

✅ Yan faces a challenge unlike any he's faced thus far. The boxer does his best work on the inside and prefers to fight there, but the length of Sandhagen will cause problems. 

✅ Sandhagen will be the busier striker and the one landing at range. His movement will keep the boxing strengths of Yan mitigated and allow Sandhagen to pick up rounds on volume alone. 

✅ Yan may resort to wrestling but it would be shocking if he both had success in many takedowns and more so if he is able to control Sandhagen. 

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Betting Pick: Sandhagen +190

Alexander Volkov -305 vs Marcin Tybura

✅ Tybura is facing a large jump in competition. We have seen this before and it has consistently ended poorly for him. The last three times he faced similar competition he has been knocked out. 

✅ Volkov is simply the superior striker. He will have all edges in the standup. Length, precision, volume and power all go to Volkov in this matchup. 

✅ Tybura will certainly resort to wrestling, but even if he is able to land takedowns, the control will not be there and Volkov will return to his feet to continue the onslaught. 

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Betting Pick: Volkov ITD +120

Amanda Ribas -165 vs Virna Jandiroba

✅ Ribas will be bouncing back after a KO loss to Marina Rodriguez. She had a rough weight cut for that fight and draws a fight in which the level of striking she faced in the previous one will be absent. 

✅ Ribas is one of just a handful of fighters that can match the BJJ game of Jandiroba. The Dern fight for both Ribas and Jandiroba is sound evidence of that. 

✅ Jandiroba remains limited in the standup, although improvements have been made. Even still, Ribas will have an edge everywhere the fight goes, and will be able to dictate whether it will be striking or grappling. 

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Betting Pick: Ribas -165

Albert Duraev -340 vs Roman Kopylov

✅ Duraev is a massive favorite in his promotional debut, and for good reason. He owns a complete and high end skill set that will give Kopylov problems everywhere the fight goes. 

✅ Kopylov is a striker, who certainly has holes in his grappling game. This was evidenced by him being submitted in his promotional debut. He now faces a far better and more dangerous grappler. 

✅ As if it weren't bad enough already for Kopylov, he is probably not even the better striker. I could see Duraev winning the fight in the stand up, but that would be ignoring the path of least resistance on the floor. 

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Betting Pick: Duraev ITD -135

Shamil Gamzatov -150 vs Michal Oleksiejczuk

✅ Oleksiejczuk is the much busier striker and the superior boxer. He is an action fighter that presses forward and that will work to his advantage in this matchup. 

✅ Oleksiejczuk has had great success in fights he is not forced to grapple. While his opponent does have an edge in that department, Lord Michal should be able to keep this one on the feet. 

✅ Gamzatov is a relatively inactive fighter that allows his opponents to dictate pace. He will be pushed back where Oleksiejczuk can go to work with combination after combination. 

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Betting Pick: Oleksiejczuk ITD +330
TJ
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today. <a href="https://twitter.com/tjcalkins/">@tjcalkins</a>