• Sat
    Jun 19
  • 12:30 am
    BKN
    MIL
    -120
    100
  • 12:00 am
    NYI
    TBL
    125
    -147
  • Fri
    Jun 18
  • 2:00 am
    LAC
    UTA
    100
    -120
  • 12:00 am
    MTL
    VGK
    140
    -167
  • Thu
    Jun 17
  • FINAL
    NYI
    TBL
    118
    -139
  • Wed
    Jun 16
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -278
    230
  • Tue
    Jun 15
  • FINAL
    BKN
    MIL
    125
    -149
  • Mon
    Jun 14
  • FINAL
    VGK
    MTL
    -250
    200
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    120
    -145
  • Sun
    Jun 13
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    105
    -130
  • FINAL
    TBL
    NYI
    -189
    155
  • FINAL
    MIL
    BKN
    110
    -135
  • Fri
    Jun 11
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    -130
    105
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    100
    -120
  • Thu
    Jun 10
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -149
    125
  • FINAL
    VGK
    COL
    -114
    -103
  • Wed
    Jun 9
  • FINAL
    PHX
    DEN
    -278
    210
  • FINAL
    NYI
    BOS
    118
    -139
  • Tue
    Jun 8
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -175
    145
  • FINAL
    COL
    VGK
    -145
    120
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -179
    148

UFC 256 Betting Plays and Predictions

December 9, 2020

UFC

After a disappointment both before and after on the last pay per view card, the promotion got this one right. The undercard is very good and the whole pay per view line up is great. It will be a joy to watch, and we have 10 of 11 fights projected by oddsmakers to end inside the distance. We also have no shortage of UFC Picks this week. Let’s dive right into them, first in video and then in text below.

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UFC 256 Preview Figueiredo vs Moreno

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Deiveson Figueiredo -325 vs Brandon Moreno

Betting Play: Figueiredo ITD -160

Fight is five rounds at 125 bs and is -265 to end inside the distance.
For the flyweight championship.

We get to see both of these fighters for the second time in a month. Figueiredo defended his belt quickly against Alex Perez and is the best finisher we have ever seen at flyweight. His striking is truly thunder and now we have seen his grappling catch up and offer an equal threat to that of his striking.

With two guillotine wins from guard in his last four fights against seasoned grapplers, it is safe to say his squeeze is absolutely next level. Brandon Moreno is a very tough and now rounded challenger, who has seen his striking catch up with his high end grappling game.

Moreno is the longer fighter, but his style is not one that projects to match up well against the champ. Moreno likes to push forward in the striking, and that will set him up to eat counter bombs that Figueiredo throws so well. Moreno will need next level chin to survive.

In order to do so, he will need to get some early takedowns while avoiding submission attempts, which is a tough ask. Never mind the submissions, it is far from a sure thing he will be able to score any takedowns on a fresh Figueiredo.

If he is able to implement that game plan and simply control and wear on the champ and drag him to deep water, with eyes on a decision win. While that is the game plan, I deem it unlikely and Figueiredo is just so dangerous and such a complete and elite finisher, we have to project him to win every fight he enters ITD until further notice. The -160 ITD line is quite attractive and is our avenue of attack in this fight. And still.

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