Texas AM Aggies vs. Auburn Tigers Betting Picks

December 3, 2020

Date:Saturday, December 5th
Time:12:00 PM ET
Network:ESPN
Venue:Jordan-Hare Stadium
Spread:Texas AM -6.5
O/U:48.5

The 6-1 Texas AM Aggies will go on the road Saturday to face off with the 5-3 Auburn Tigers at 12:00 PM ET in Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Aggies are still fighting for a CFB playoff spot and they come into this game as 6.5-point favorites. Both teams have solid defenses and we’re looking at a 48.5 over/under. Let’s dive into how this game will go down and who will end up covering the spread. Make sure to check out the rest of my CFB Picks and Predictions for the upcoming weekend slate of games.

Trends

  • Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
  • Tigers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games overall.

When The Texas AM Aggies Have The Ball

The fifth-ranked Aggies didn’t take the field for consecutive weeks due to COVID cancellations but started right where they left off against LSU and walked away with a 20-7 victory a week ago. The defense was impeccable and the offense took care of business, turning the ball over just one time. They have one last tough test against Auburn and both sides of the ball will have to step up.

This is an offense that does is with balance. QB Kellen Mond has taken care of the football, tossing it for 1,573 yards, 16 touchdowns, and two interceptions. He’s added 139 yards and a score on the ground, only running it when absolutely necessary. Halfback Isaiah Spiller has emerged as one of the best backs in the SEC with 784 yards and six scores on top of 100+ receiving yards. They will get him 20 touches in this game against an Auburn defense that won’t make anything easy.

When The Auburn Tigers Have The Ball

The Auburn Tigers have been an extremely frustrating team this season, looking like a different squad altogether every time they take the field. They’re coming off a 42-13 loss at the hands of Alabama and it was an ugly game from start to finish. It’s hard to blame them and the Aggies lost 52-24 to Alabama earlier in the season.

The Aggies are elite against the run, so this one will come down to Bo Nix throwing the ball. That hasn’t worked all that well this season, as he’s thrown it for just 10 touchdowns with seven interceptions. Seth Williams and Anthony Schwartz are two of the best receivers in the entire country and the offense can have success here when those guys have the ball in their hands.

Spread Prediction

The Pick: Aggies -6.5

The Auburn Tigers are just not the same team as they’ve been in past seasons. The Aggies are a lot better than they’ve been since Manziel was there and they have far more to play for at this point. The Aggies are going to have success running the ball against the Tigers front and they will control the pace of this ballgame. Get this number before it hits seven as it is far riskier there.

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Total Prediction

The Pick: Under 48.5
Final Score Prediction: Aggies 28, Auburn 17

The under is the only responsible bet to make on the total. Neither of these offenses want to press the ball and both defenses are guaranteed to show up. The Aggies will also control this game with their running game and Mond isn’t a guy that throws it downfield much when he drops back. This number will also fall, so make sure to hop on this as soon as you can. The Aggies are my favorite bet in this game, but I’ll be laying a unit on the under as well.

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