Suns vs Heat Predictions

April 12, 2021

Suns vs Heat Betting Pick: Suns -3

Suns vs Heat is an inter-Conference tilt between two teams that have slightly differing hopes closing out the 2021 season. The Heat should be locked into the middle of the playoff race in the Eastern Conference. They are comfortably inside the cut line for playoff teams. They will probably have home-court advantage for their first round series.

The Suns on the other hand are in a dog fight with the Jazz for the top team in the Western Conference. Their goal will be attaining the top seed and home court advantage leading up to the NBA Finals. It would be a shock of sorts if they finished any worse than the two seed in the West.  

Suns vs Heat has only been played over five dozen time times, with the split tilting slightly to the Suns side. The recent seasons are similar, with the split being quite even. These teams have played each as evenly recently as they have historically. History does not point to either side. With no historical advantage, we will look to outcomes from this season. The Suns are one of the league’s best teams, and are a better team than the Heat.

You will find the best NBA picks for Heat vs Suns below.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick

Betting Pick: Suns -3

Tuesday Night at 10:00PM EST at Phoenix Suns Arena

Why bet the Suns?

Suns surprise as elite. Coming into this season, 13 teams had lower odds and win totals than the Suns. They have surprised as all as one of the league’s truly elite teams. Anyone who has a +4000 championship wager on the Suns has to feel really good about that ticket. The Suns are also just one win away from going over their win total for the season, and that will come tonight against the Heat.

Suns elite at home. With the exception of the Jazz and their historic home streak, the Suns are the league’s next best home team. Their 21-8 record is actually below their statistical expectation. They rank top five in both offensive and defensive effficeincy and have the second most lopsided outcomes. They trail only the Jazz with their +9.2 point differentual per home game. When teams travel to Phoenix Suns arena, they are blown out more often than not.

Heat wilt agaisnt the elite. The Heat are just an average road team overall. However, they simply do not get the job done agaisnt the league’s elites. The Heat have played five road games against a top two team in either conference. They are still looking for their first win in these matchups. They also have not been overly competitve in these games, losing by an averge of 11.2 points per contest. Expect more of the same in Phoenix tonight.

General Info about Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

Where do the Heat play their home games?

The Heat play their home games at American Airlines Arena.

Where do the Suns play their home games?

The Suns play their home games at Phoenix Suns Arena.

Where can you watch Heat vs Suns?

You can stream this game on NBA League Pass.

Where can you bet on Suns vs Heat?

Check out the Best Betting Sites for 2021 to get the best odds and betting options on the game.

Heat vs Suns Predictions

Heat vs Suns has been played over five dozen times. There is no real edge going to either side on the historical split. The more recent years have also been completely split. The full historical split nor the recent history do not carry weight in this matchup. Looking to the current season, the Suns continue to carry a superior roster. History is just one indicator, and it is one piece of the puzzle to look at for best predictions on Heat vs Suns. However, history is not a factor to determine a betting play in this matchup.

Check the Suns vs Heat predictions above for this game’s best betting pick.

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Suns vs Heat Against the Spread Predictions

Suns vs Heat against the spread predictions refer to whether the Heat or Suns win or lose by the necessary points to cover the spread. The spread is a set number of points the favorite needs to win by or the underdog needs to lose by less than to be considered a wagering winner.

For a hypothetical line, we will use the Suns -3. This means your wager on the Suns would require them to win by more than three points to be considered a winner. Your wager on the Heat, at +3, would require them to either win the game outright or to lose by fewer than three points to have your wager be considered a winner.

Check above for the best Suns vs Heat against the spread predictions.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Over/Under Betting

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Over/Under betting is a way of wagering on the contest without needing to pick the team that wins the game. Instead, these wagers are against a set betting total of combined points in the game. This set total is created by the bookmakers. For a hypothetical example, we will use a total set at 216.5 points. Over/Under wagers on this Heat vs Suns contest would be betting over or under 216.5 combined points for the two teams.

There are many factors to be considered when diving into Over/Under wagering. These factors include pace (expected possessions per game), offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency.

Knowing which teams play faster and slower, and which teams play with a higher and lower level of efficiency at each end of the floor is a large edge when over/under wagering.

See above if there is a best Over/Under play for Heat vs Suns.

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Moneyline Predictions

Money Line wagering on NBA is a fun way to bet on one team or the other, while taking the point spread out of play in terms of the wager.

Instead of laying or taking the points on the point spread, you can lay odds on the favorite or take odds on the underdog to simply win the game outright. If you are looking to wager on a game with our best Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Money Line predictions, a Money Line wager is worth considering. This will allow you to avoid the point spread and simply pick a winner.

For an example of how a Money Line wager differs from an against the spread wager, we will use our Suns -3 hypothetical example from above. Instead of the standard -110 odds on an against the spread bet, you can bet the Suns to simply win outright while laying odds. You can bet the Heat to win the game outright while getting odds.

In our hypothetical, we would expect to have to lay about -145 on the Suns and expect to get about +125 on the Heat.

With the all-time series being played to no edge for either side, history cannot help as a determining factor on a money line wager. However, history is just one piece of the puzzle and all other factors need to be considered. The current season’s trends siding with the Phoenix Suns is a helpful indicator and is more important in terms of a betting selection.

There are hours of research required for successful NBA predictions, and we are here to provide that for you. We bring a conclusion summed up and bottom lined.

Check above for a synopsis and who to play in this Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns matchup.

Heat vs Suns Odds

The NBA carries the most fluid odds of all the major sports in the United States. We often see a slow release of odds and against the spread, over/under and money line odds all fluctuate, often rapidly throughout a given day leading up to tipoff. The Suns vs Heat regular season matchup won’t draw a massive betting market from the general public, so just a handful of large wagers could move the lines significantly in one direction or the other.

Live Streaming Suns vs Heat

We currently have no sports books in the United States that offer streaming of NBA games. This will certainly change in the future, but for now you are still required to turn to paid streaming services that might have the game you are looking for. For live streaming Suns vs Heat you are limited to YouTubeTV, FuboTV, Hulu, and of course, NBA League Pass.

TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.