Schwartzman vs Korda – ATP Miami Betting Picks
30 March 2021
Schwartzman vs Korda is not a matchup many would have expected during the ATP Miami Masters at this stage of the tournament. With the American advancing to the round of 16, he has a chance to prove himself against one of the top-10 players in the world. In today’s tennis picks, we take a closer look at this battle between an established star on tour and a possible future star.
Diego Schwartzman vs Sebastian Korda
Schwartzman vs Korda Pick: Over 2.5 sets (+143)
Diego Schwartzman has won his first two matches in Miami in straight sets. He defeated Yasutaka Uchiyama in his first match, and followed that up with a victory over Adrian Mannarino. He has broken his opponents a combined seven times through two matches in Miami, with the slow court conditions working in his favor this week.
The question for Schwartzman is always going to be how he performs on hard courts. This is not his preferred surface, as the Argentine would rather be playing on clay courts. But the slower hard courts are still a place where he can thrive. A win here would put him into the quarters of this Masters 1000 event, which would be big for his goal of reaching the year-end finals.
Sebastian Korda is one of four Americans still in the men’s draw in Miami after a strong start to his week. He has won three matches to reach this point in South Florida. He opened his campaign with a straight sets win over Radu Albot. Korda then beat Fabio Fognini in three sets before knocking Aslan Karatsev out in straight sets. Korda’s performance against Karatsev was impressive given how well the Russian had been playing of late.
Korda has broken each of his opponents four times or more over the course of this tournament. He has served up two bagels in this event as well, taking a set off of both Albot and Karatsev without conceding so much as a service game. If he has similar success with his return of serve against the less than powerful Schwartzman, the American could find himself in the quarterfinals in Miami.
Schwartzman vs Korda is a matchup that has yet to happen on tour before. This match represents a great chance for both players to reach the quarters in Miami. Against an opponent that both players will feel they can beat, both the Argentine and the American will look to put forth their best performances here.
Both of these competitors are playing some excellent tennis at the moment. Schwartzman vs Korda is going to come down to whether Korda can take advantage of Schwartzman’s lack of power relative to the rest of the field. It will also come down to whether Korda can avoid being coaxed into errors by the precise Schwartzman. This match could go either way, but Korda should be able to push this to a third set. The over 2.5 sets market at plus money is very appealing here.
The Pick: Over 2.5 sets (+143)
Tennis Betting FAQ
As of now, Daniil Medvedev is on track to play his match against Frances Tiafoe in the round of 16. How he will be feeling in that match remains to be seen. But the Russian is considered a heavy favorite to get the better of Tiafoe to advance to the quarterfinals. That would suggest that he isn’t in terrible condition physically heading into Tuesday’s action.
John Isner has put together some incredible tennis so far this week, despite looking immobile last week in Acapulco. His massive serve should be able to keep him in this match with Roberto Bautista-Agut. Whether or not he can win the match will depend on whether his ground strokes can remain precise enough to avoid giving away points when his first serve doesn’t land in play.
It is entirely possible that Andrey Rublev could be making a run to the final in Miami. He destroyed Marton Fucsovics in his last match. And with Daniil Medvedev, his personal nemesis, on the opposite end of the draw, Rublev could get to the final here. His biggest competition would be Stefanos Tsitsipas in his half of the draw, but he could very well defeat the Greek player en route to the final.