Poliana Botelho vs Luana Carolina Predictions

April 29, 2021

Poliana Botelho -245 vs Luana Carolina

Betting Play: Botelho ITD +345

Fight is at 125 lbs and is +210 to end inside the distance.

Poliana Botelho is a fighter that seems to have an easy recipe when it comes to betting her fights. She is an absolutely vicious striker with real power in the flyweight division. She has been a nightmare for women that try to stand and strike with her. It is no wonder that opponents who are capable look to take her down and control her. Botelho has run into problems against high end grapplers. She has difficulty returning to her feet against BJJ aces, but is not completely helpless against lesser grapplers. When she gets to stand and bang, she is visibly powerful and sharp, and her opponents do not want to be hit by her.  

✅ Enter the UFC Vegas 25 matchup with Luana Carolina, a striker. These are the exact matchups where Botelho excels, as she will be better in the area of specialty of her opponent. Additionally, Carolina does not pose a threat on the mat, and was even submitted by Ariane Lipski, who has trouble in fights against anything but the lowest level of UFC competition. 

✅ In a stand up affair, we will take the favored Botelho not only to win, but to do so inside the distance. While laying -245 is not irresponsible in this matchup, the +345 ITD line is just too big to ignore for a woman with the power of Botelho. This will be our avenue of attack on our lone plus figure play on this card. 

Betting Pick: Botelho ITD +345
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.