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Oklahoma State Cowboys (17) vs. Kansas Jayhawks Betting Picks and Predictions

02 October 2020

NCAAF Picks Austyn Varney
Date: Saturday, October 3rd
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Venue:  Kivisto Field at Memorial Stadium
Network: ESPN
Spread: OKST -21.5
O/U: 53.5

The 2-0 Oklahoma State Cowboys will go on the road to face off with the 0-2 Kansas Jayhawks at 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 3rd. You can watch the game on ESPN or ESPN3. It hasn’t been pretty for Oklahoma State through two weeks, but they won both games. The Jayhawks on the other hand, have lost two straight and they’re looking to salvage their season from the dumps. Let’s dive right into how this game will end up and who will cover the spread. 

When The Oklahoma State Cowboys Have The Ball

It’s been everything but easy for the Oklahoma State Cowboys through the first two weeks of the season. After Spencer Sanders went down in week one, the Cowboys barely escaped against Tulsa with a victory. He was then forced to sit against West Virginia and the offense struggled. The defense led the squad to a 27-13 victory, but the offense didn’t look great. 

RB Chuba Hubbard and WR Tylan Wallace are two of the best individual players in the country. The issue has been getting them the ball in space. In week one, the entire offense was a mess. In week two, the Mountaineers focused on stopping the run and Illingsworth wasn’t able to deliver it to Wallace accurately enough. He still managed six catches for 78 yards, but this is a guy who should be putting up 100+ yards weekly. 

It looks like Spencer Sanders is going to be back this week. He turns this offense into a powerhouse and this Kansas Jayhawks defense will have to pay. Sanders does an elite job of getting Wallace the ball on the outside and he’s fast enough to keep the defense on it’s heels.

Defensively, Oklahoma State has been phenomenal. Linebackers Malcolm Rodriguez and Amen Ogbongbemiga lead the team with 17 tackles a piece and Safety Tre Sterling joins them with the same number. LB Calvin Bundage had two sacks against the Mountaineers and Rodriguez and Ogbongbemiga each had one in week one. Safety Kobly Harvell-Peel is the leader of this defense and he has an interception and two pass defenses thus far. Expect the Kansas Jayhawks offense to struggle and turn the ball over a time or two. 

When The Kansas Jayhawks Have The Ball

It’s been an ugly start to the season for the Kansas Jayhawks, who have been taken down by Coastal Carolina and Baylor to start the season. They’ve scored just 37 points and have allowed 85. Neither game was close, and the Jayhawks defense has been demolished in back-to-back contests.

The offense is simply a mess. The team prefers to run the ball and they’ll do so on the backs of Pooka Williams Jr. and Velton Gardner. Even while playing from behind, these talented backs have put up 140+ yards a piece and three combined touchdowns. If this offense wants to have success, they will need to establish the run game early and often. 

At QB, it’ll be either Jalon Daniels or Miles Kendrick. Both have gotten plenty of action with Daniels being a dual-threat option while Kendrick prefers to pass out of the pocket. Against an Oklahoma State defense that can struggle against the pass, expect Kendrick to get plenty of playing time. Les Miles has already said how much he loves the arm of the youngster. 

At wide receiver, Kwamie Lassiter II, Andrew Parchment, and Takulve Williams are all extremely talented. Parchment has the most NFL upside, but the other two guys are elite CFB players and would be superstars if they were on a different team. Defensively, Kansas has to get someone into the backfield. The defensive line has been atrocious through two weeks and they’ll need to step up if they want to allow less than 50 points to Oklahoma State. 

Spread Prediction

This Kansas Jayhawks team has been even worse than expected, which is hard to do when you enter the season with a 2.5 win total. It hasn’t been pretty for Oklahoma State either, but the offense is going to find their footing before long and it’ll likely be this week. Spencer Sanders was given the extra week to recover and he’s facing one of the worst defenses in FBS College Football. 

The mere talent on this Oklahoma State team causes problems. Spencer Sanders, Chuba Hubbard, and Tylan Wallace will all be first-day NFL draft picks while there are 2 OL who might join them. While the Jayhawks have played about as bad as possible, I’m not sure this OKST defense will give them time to breathe. They’ve stepped up early when the Cowboys offense faltered and will put pressure on the Jayhawks offense constantly. 

Oklahoma State is going to cruise in this game and we will finally see the offense we were expecting in week one. Sanders is the most important piece of this team as he does a great job of getting the weapons the ball.Give me Oklahoma State all day long here. 

The Pick: Oklahoma State -21.5

Best Sportsbooks For This Pick

New JerseyWilliam Hill square logoBet@William Hill
PennsylvaniaSugarHouse online casino square logoBet@SugarHouse
IndianaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
West VirginiaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
ColoradoBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
IllinoisBetRivers square logoBet@BetRivers

Total Prediction

The over is my favorite bet in this game and it’s not close. Both of these offenses have the ability to move the ball and we’ve seen the worst out of both of them in weeks one and two. I expect both offenses to show up in week three and for this one to eclipse 65+ points. Give me the over and sprinkle in some alternate totals. 

While the Oklahoma State defense has been great in weeks one and two, they’ll now be dealing with some injuries and this Kansas offense has the talent to put up numbers. We already know what we’re working with on the side of Oklahoma State. Sanders, Hubbard, and Wallace are just the tip of the iceberg. 

LD Brown (166 yds, TD, 8.3 YPC) has been better than Hubbard early in the season and Dillon Stoner has some of the more trustworthy hands in the conference. Give me the over all day here as one of my favorite bets of the entire College Football week. 

The Pick: Over 53.5

Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma State Cowboys 42, Kansas Jayhawks 17

Best Sportsbooks For This Pick

New JerseyWilliam Hill square logoBet@William Hill
PennsylvaniaSugarHouse online casino square logoBet@SugarHouse
IndianaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
West VirginiaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
ColoradoBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
IllinoisBetRivers square logoBet@BetRivers

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