Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Oklahoma Sooners Betting Picks

November 18, 2020

Date:Saturday, November 21st
Time:7:30 PM ET
Network:ABC
Venue:Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Spread:Oklahoma -7
O/U:59

The 5-1 Oklahoma State Cowboys will go on the road Saturday night to face off with the 5-2 Oklahoma Sooners at 7:30 PM ET in Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. You can tune into the showdown between the top-20 teams on ABC. While both teams have gone through some toughs valleys this season, there is still hope for both to make it to a big bowl game. A win here would certainly go a long way and a loss will put one team out of the mix. The Sooners come in as 7-point home favorites and we’re looking at a 59 over/under. Let’s dive into how this one will go down and who will end up covering the spread. Make sure to check out the rest of my CFB Picks and Predictions for this packed weekend slate of games.

Trends

  • Tulane is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Tulsa is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tulane’s last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulsa’s last 6 games against Tulane.

When The Oklahoma State Cowboys Have The Ball

2020 has been rather cruel to the Oklahoma State Cowboys and they’ve done a pretty good job hanging on. It started in game one when Spencer Sanders went down with an ankle injury and they weren’t fully healthy until week five or six. That’s when half of the defense was banged up. They won their first test of the season against Iowa State but fell 41-34 to Texas a week later. They bounced back last week against Kansas State and now sit 14th in the country. With a win over Oklahoma, they might get back into the mix for top-10 and they would certainly lock in that big bowl appearance.

The Cowboys have two superstars and the offense runs through them. RB Chuba Hubbard is the more household name, but Tylan Wallace is the guy you’ll want to remember for the NFL. He’s an absolute monster and has won the Cowboys two or three games this season by himself. He’s caught 35 balls for 588 yards and four touchdowns. Hubbard has rushed it 125 times for 581 yards and five scores. He’s added 52 yards and a TD through the air, though he’s been far less effective in the passing game than in years past.

Sanders is a quarterback with a lot of potential, but I’m just not sure how much I can really trust him. He routinely has terrible games and doesn’t feel like the same guy as he was in 2019. I don’t know if he’s still dealing with injury or the changes to the offense have left him uncomfortable, but the only time he really looks good is when he throws it to Wallace. He must step up and have a big game if the Cowboys want any shot of upsetting Oklahoma.

When The Oklahoma Sooners Have The Ball

After dropping back-to-back games in week two and three to Kansas State and Iowa State, the Sooners have bounced back with four straight wins. They’ve climbed back into the rankings and sit 18th in the country going into this one. The Sooners are coming off a 62-9 win over the Kansas Jayhawks in a game that finally resembled a classic Oklahoma beatdown. They’ll look to keep it rolling, but face their toughest test of the season with the 14th-ranked team in the country.

The Sooners are led by QB Spencer Rattler, who’s been inconsistent this season. He’s up to 2,018 yards with 18 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has turned the ball over too many times for an offense that’s built on efficiency. He has another 101 yards and three touchdowns on the ground and will have to be effective both ways against a tough Oklahoma State defense.

The Sooners have moved towards running the ball a lot more with the inconsistency at the quarterback position. T.J. Pledger has led the way with 393 yards and five touchdowns while averaging just under five yards per carry. Freshman Seth McGowan is one of the best backups in the country and he’s averaged 5.2 YPC with 297 yards and three touchdowns. He’s added 10 receptions for 131 yards and a TD through the air. Rhamondre Stevenson is RB3 and five of his 24 carries have gone for a touchdown. This is a dangerous RBBC and all three guys can go for 100+ yards.

The Sooners never replaced Ceedee Lamb, but they’ve gotten it done with four other receivers. Austin Stogner, Marvin Mims, and Theo Wease all have 25 or 26 catches. Mims has hauled in seven touchdowns and Stogner three. Charleston Rambo has caught 19 passes for 263 yards and two touchdowns. Mims is the most talented receiver on the team and he will see 10+ targets against an Oklahoma State secondary that will refuse to double.

Spread Prediction

The Pick: Oklahoma -7

Oklahoma is just too good and they seem to be putting everything together at this point. It’s too late for their original expectations, but a win over Oklahoma State will lock them into the top-15 and a big bowl game if they continue to win out. The Sooners are the far more talented offensive team and I simply trust Rattler more than I do Sanders. Neither QB screams efficiency, but Rattler at least has the weapons around him to make it happen. The defense has also looked phenomenal in the last three weeks and the Oklahoma State offense has a serious turnover problem. Give me the Sooners to win this by at least a touchdown, though it’s not my favorite bet in this game.

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Total Prediction

The Pick: Over 59
Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma 42, Oklahoma State 35

The over is my favorite bet in this game. Both offenses seem to be putting it together at the same point and we know the defenses are nothing to worry about. Both offenses are averaging 40 or so points per game and they’re only getting better. This number is a high one for good reason, but it’s not nearly high enough. The over here is one of my three favorite bets on the weekend and I’ll be laying three personal units on it.

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