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Oklahoma State Cowboys (14) vs. Kansas State Wildcats Betting Picks and Predictions

07 November 2020

NCAAF Picks Austyn Varney
Date:Saturday, November 7th
Time:4:00 PM ET
Network:FOX
Venue:Bill Snyder Stadium
Spread:OKST -12.5
O/U:47

The 4-1 Oklahoma State Cowboys will go on the road Saturday evening to face off with the 4-2 Kansas State Wildcats at 4:00 PM ET in Bill Snyder Stadium. You can tune in on FOX. The Cowboys come in as 12.5-point road favorites and we’re looking at an expected low-scoring affair with just a 47 over/under. Both teams are coming off of a loss and will look to turn their seasons around. Let’s dive into how this game will go down and who will end up covering the spread. Make sure to check out the rest of my NCAAF Picks and Predictions for this weekend slate of games.

Trends

  • Oklahoma State is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games.
  • Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 15 of Oklahoma State’s last 20 games played in November.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas State’s last 9 games against Oklahoma State.

When The Oklahoma State Cowboys Have The Ball

The Cowboys were one of the few undefeated teams left and got up to sixth in the country before they were upset last week 41-34 by the Texas Longhorns in OT. They’ve been bounced back to 14th in the nation and will look to reside themselves against a Kansas State team that’s always ready for a battle. 

This team relies on the running game and Chuba Hubbard. He wasn’t great a week ago against Texas, but is up to 550 yards and five touchdowns on the season. Hubbard is one of the best backs in the country and this offensive line is built to block for the running game. LD Brown is a solid change-of-pace back and he’s picked up 50 carries for 262 yards and a score. Expect Hubbard and co to get another 25 carries in this game as Oklahoma State looks to set the pace on the ground on the road. 

With QB Spencer Sanders fully healthy, Oklahoma State is a different beast offensively. He threw for 400 yards against Texas a week ago and rushed for 71 a week prior against Iowa State. The team might lean on the running game, but they’re nearly impossible to stop when both parts of the offense are hitting. Sanders has been hurt for the majority of the season and both Hubbard and Wallace have figured out a way to succeed. If Sanders can remain healthy, expect this team to climb back up the national ranks. 

He has plenty of weapons and it starts with WR Tylan Wallace, who’s one of the best receivers in the entire country. He’s caught 35 balls for 588 yards and four touchdowns. He’s going to be a 1st round NFL draft pick and is a guy that can single-handedly take over a game. Braydon Johnson and Dillon Stoner are each over 135 yards and are sure-handed targets when Wallace is doubled. Look for Wallace and Hubbard to continue dominating here against a Kansas State team that can be susceptible defensively.

When The Kansas State Wildcats Have The Ball

The Wildcats have continued their reputation as a tough team for anyone to play that’s supposed to be better than them. They upset the third-ranked Oklahoma Sooners earlier this season and bounced Texas Tech and TCU as well. They lost to Arkansas State and West Virginia, who are two hard-nosed teams on both sides of the ball and you can’t blame them for either loss. They face off with an Oklahoma State team that fits the bill as a team they should over perform against. It’ll be a tough test as the Cowboys are impressive on both sides of the ball and won’t give Kansas State an inch. 

QB Skylar Thompson is hurt and the Wildcats have been forced to turn towards Will Howard. He’s nowhere near as electric and has struggled through the air in his limited opportunities with 741 yards, four touchdowns, and four interceptions. Howard must do a better job of delivering the ball with accuracy down the field if they want to keep up with Oklahoma State. Their defense will pressure the QB and the corners won’t make it easy on the receivers. 

Freshman running back Deuce Vaughn is worth highlighting on his own. He leads the Wildcats offense in both rushing (341 yds, 4 TD) and receiving (362 yds, TD). He is one of the best athletes in the entire country and is the only player on the same level as Hubbard and Wallace on the other side of the ball. The Wildcats would be wise to get the ball in his hands 20+ times if they truly want to contend in this game.

Speaking of receivers, the Wildcats will throw a lot more with Howard under center. Vaughn leads all receivers and he will get at least five targets out of the backfield. Briley Moore leads the team with 19 catches and he’s turned them into 271 yards and three touchdowns. Chabastin Taylor is a threat between the 20s and he has caught it 17 times for 256 yards and a touchdown. If Howard can get them the ball accurately, there are plenty of weapons at his disposal.

Spread Prediction

The Wildcats always play up to their opponents and I expect more of the same in this game. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are extremely talented, but they never seem to put it all together and they let teams stick around a bit too long. Halfback Deuce Vaughn is truly a game-changer and the Wildcats will continue finding ways to get the ball in his hands. Kansas State has had more success throwing the ball with Howard at the helm and there isn’t much tape on him for OKST to look at. I do like the Cowboys to prevail with the victory, but it will be a competitive game.

The Pick: Kansas State +12.5

Best Sportsbooks For This Pick

New JerseyWilliam Hill square logoBet@William Hill
PennsylvaniaSugarHouse online casino square logoBet@SugarHouse
IndianaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
West VirginiaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
ColoradoBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
IllinoisBetRivers square logoBet@BetRivers

Total Prediction

Both of these offenses are finding their stride right now and this number is extremely low. It’s because of the Cowboys defense, and while they have been good, they’re injured this week and the Wildcats are a bizarre offense to defend. They’re going to put up a few touchdowns at the very least and will force Oklahoma State to keep up.

On the Oklahoma State side of the ball, they’re going to score. They have too many weapons for Kansas State to bottle up and they should find their way into the 25-30 range. I like both offenses to have plenty of success here and I will be laying a couple of units on the over. It’s my favorite bet in this game.

The Pick: Over 47

Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma State 28, Kansas State 24

Best Sportsbooks For This Pick

New JerseyWilliam Hill square logoBet@William Hill
PennsylvaniaSugarHouse online casino square logoBet@SugarHouse
IndianaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
West VirginiaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
ColoradoBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
IllinoisBetRivers square logoBet@BetRivers

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