Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Picks

December 9, 2020

Date:Saturday, December 12th
Time:12:00 PM ET
Network:ABC
Venue:Mountaineer Field
Spread:Oklahoma -14
O/U:56.5

The 7-2 Oklahoma Sooners will go on the road Saturday to face off with the 5-4 West Virginia Mountaineers at 12:00 PM ET in Mountaineer Field. The Sooners come in as 14-point road favorites and we’re expecting plenty of points with a 56.5 over/under. You can tune into the matchup on ABC as the Sooners look to make it seven straight wins. Let’s dive into how this one will go down and who will end up covering the spread. Make sure to check out the rest of my CFB Picks and Predictions for the upcoming weekend slate of games.

Trends

  • Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Mountaineers are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games in December.
  • Under is 19-4-1 in Sooners last 24 games in December.
  • Under is 6-0 in Mountaineers last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

When The Oklahoma Sooners Have The Ball

After losing two of their first three games of the season, Oklahoma was out of playoff contention and the entire country put them on the backburner. They’ve done nothing but win since, rattling off six straight victories over six solid opponents. They’re up to 11th in the country and a win over Virginia Tech could very well put them in the top-10. This is a Sooners team that has run it more than they’ve passed it and the backfield is headed by T.J. Pledger (449 yards, 5 TD) with Rhamondre Stevenson (382 yards, 6 TD) and Seth McGowan (297 yards, 3 TD) spelling him.

QB Spencer Rattler has rushed it for 103 yards and four scores on top of his 2,512 passing yards and 24 touchdowns. He’s looked a lot better every time he takes the field and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him win the Heisman Trophy next season. The weapons are there on the outside with Marvin Mims (482 yards, 7 TD) and Theo Wease (467 yards, 3 TD) leading the way. Charleston Rambo and Austin Stogner (TE) start on the outside as well and can put up 100+ in any given game.

When The West Virginia Mountaineers Have The Ball

West Virginia is coming off a tough 42-6 loss to Iowa State in a game that was never close. The Mountaineers didn’t show up on either side of the ball and they can’t expect a different result in this game if they come out as flat. When WVU has moved the ball this year, it’s been with QB Jarret Doege. He’s up to 2,428 yards on the season with 13 touchdowns and three interceptions. He has five elite weapons on the outside, but it’s Winston Wright Jr. who leads the way with 45 catches for 528 yards and two touchdowns.

Junior HB Leddie Brown Jr. is a beast and he’s up to 945 yards and nine touchdowns on the season. He could be having an even better season if this WVU defense could stop anyone. They’ve been terrible and it spells a recipe for disaster facing off with Oklahoma and their potent passing attack. The Mountaineers defense must step up if West Virginia wants to keep this one close.

Spread Prediction

The Pick: Oklahoma -14

This Oklahoma offense seems to take a step forward every game and they’re itching to get back into that top-10. It would mean a massive bowl game and the ability to end the season as a top six or seven team when all is said and done. Spencer Rattler has finally turned the corner and he has this offense humming. The Mountaineers are by no means a bad team, but the offense can’t keep with Oklahoma and the defense isn’t good enough to slow the Sooners down consistently. Oklahoma is the bet to make here and I don’t mind buying half of a point to make it 13.5.

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Total Prediction

The Pick: Under 56.5
Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma 42, West Virginia 14

The Sooners are going to do damage here, but I don’t think they put up more than 45 points and I definitely don’t expect West Virginia to do much. While the weapons are there, this is a terribly coached team and the correct weapons don’t seem to touch the ball enough. I would much rather bet on Oklahoma and the spread, but lean on the under here just slightly.

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