NFL Betting Plays and Predictions ‚Äď Week 9

November 5, 2020

Thanks for stopping back for Week 9. We have four more teams on byes this week, and some truly ugly matchups, starting with Thursday Night Football. COVID safety procedures and injuries are keeping a number of key players out for both sides, and we will see a shell of both teams, particularly on offense.

Those same issues will trickle into a number of games on Sunday, making them difficult to play from a betting perspective, or at least making a firm pick difficult days in advance. Even still, we have four solid plays this week, let’s dive into our NFL Picks and Predictions.

This Weeks Betting Plays

MatchupBetting Play
Detroit Lions at Minnesota VikingsVikings -4
Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis ColtsRavens -2
Carolina Panthers at Kansas City ChiefsOver 52
Houston Texans at Jacksonville JaguarsTexans -6.5
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Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

Betting Play: Vikings -4

1PM EST
Opening Line: Vikings -2.5 and 54
Current Line: Vikings -4 and 52.5

The Lions offense has taken massive hits this week. They will certainly be without their best offensive player in Kenny Golladay and are in danger of being without quarterback Matthew Stafford as well. Stafford is in the COVID protocol and if he does not return negative tests all week, he will be ineligible to play. Even if he is eligible to play, he will be without practice and walkthroughs all week.

This is likely not a huge problem for a veteran like Stafford, but it certainly can’t help, especially without his top weapon in Golladay. These issues for the offense however, are likely secondary, as the Lions have completely lost any semblance of how to hold running backs in check.

They have allowed five touchdowns to backs over the past two weeks and those were to players named Nyheim Hines, Jordan Wilkins and Todd Gurley. They now face one of if not the hottest backs in the league in Dalvin Cook and as offense that that has scored at least 23 in all but one game and averages over 26 points on the season.

The Detroit defense has allowed at least 23 points in all but one game and is allowing over 29 points per game on the season. This game completely shapes up as one in which the Lions will need to keep pace with a Viking offense that they will be unable to contain, and having the task of doing it shorthanded. With the Viking being able to fend off the much higher level Packers in that area last week, it projects to be an easier task against the Lions.

The public is on the right track in this one, moving the line 1.5 points towards the Vikings side, and I expect that to move more leading up to kickoff. Get in early on the Vikings as they continue their recovery from a rocky start.

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