• Thu
    Jun 17
  • 12:00 am
    NYI
    TBL
    118
    -139
  • Wed
    Jun 16
  • 11:30 pm
    PHI
    ATL
    -278
    230
  • Tue
    Jun 15
  • FINAL
    BKN
    MIL
    125
    -149
  • Mon
    Jun 14
  • FINAL
    VGK
    MTL
    -250
    200
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    120
    -145
  • Sun
    Jun 13
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    105
    -130
  • FINAL
    TBL
    NYI
    -189
    155
  • FINAL
    MIL
    BKN
    110
    -135
  • Fri
    Jun 11
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    -130
    105
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    100
    -120
  • Thu
    Jun 10
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -149
    125
  • FINAL
    VGK
    COL
    -114
    -103
  • Wed
    Jun 9
  • FINAL
    PHX
    DEN
    -278
    210
  • FINAL
    NYI
    BOS
    118
    -139
  • Tue
    Jun 8
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -175
    145
  • FINAL
    COL
    VGK
    -145
    120
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -179
    148
  • FINAL
    CAR
    TBL
    100
    -120
  • Mon
    Jun 7
  • FINAL
    PHX
    DEN
    -189
    155
  • FINAL
    BKN
    MIL
    -141
    116
  • FINAL
    BOS
    NYI
    -182
    155

NFL Week 6 – Monday Night Plays and Overview

October 18, 2020

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COVID-19 has egregiously upset just about every aspect of our lives, including sports, but most everything has a silver lining. In this case the silver lining is a Monday night doubleheader. In addition to the regularly scheduled Cardinals vs Cowboys game, we get earlier Monday football as well, with the Chiefs vs Bills game kicking off at 5PM EST. Without overlap on the 8:15 kickoff of the Cardinals vs Cowboys game, the true double header is something to enjoy.

Quick Links

We can expect points on Monday, and a lot of them. The totals on each game are currently sitting at 57 for Chiefs game and 55.5 for the Cardinals game. This is a good segue to touch on the one side or total play we have for Monday night.

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Betting Play: Over 55.5

8:15PM EST
Opening Line: Cowboys -3 and 52
Current Line: Cardinals -1 and 55.5

Let me be very clear to begin, I am not interested in attempting to pick a side in this game. What I am interested in is knowing and attacking the state of the Dallas defense in combination with the capability of the Dallas offense. Since their low scoring Week1 affair, the Cowboys have been an absolute dream for over bettors. Their last four games have totaled 306 total point scored for an average of 76.5 per contest. The *smallest* single game total the Cowboys have scored in that span is 31 points while the *smallest* single game point total they have allowed in that span is 34 points.

Yes the Cowboys lost Dak Prescott for the season last week. No, I don’t believe the scoring pace of their games is drastically affected with Andy Dalton under center. The abysmal nature of their defense as whole is where the scoring pace is initiated, and the offense has to sling it to attempt to keep up. No matter how fantastic of a season Prescott was having, it had no real bearing on the other side of the football.

Speaking of the other side of the football, the matchup with the Cardinals is against a team averaging just under 26 points per contest, and getting their easiest matchup to date. The passing game and running of Kyler Murray has been the life blood for the Cards this year, as they haven’t been able to kick start their rushing attack. The holes have not been created and top back Kenyan Drake has not looked like himself since dealing with an undisclosed injury leading up to the season. Whether this is the game they are able to start running the ball or not, they will be able to score above their season pace in this one.

The Cardinals defense is also an exploitable one, as their overall averages are skewed a bit by the schedule they’ve played. In the aforementioned four week span in which Dallas is playing in these shootouts, the Cardinals have had played two anemic offenses in the Jets and Redskins, and two capable but far from elite offenses in the Lions and Panthers. The focus here is on the Lions and Panthers as the Cowboys should carry higher expectations than those two, but those two scored 26 and 31, respectively, on the Cardinals, and al signs point to another Cowboys shoot out with the final score being in the 70 point range. The over is the point of attack.

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In the other matchup, the Chiefs have been bet up to a five point favorite against the Bills at home. While I am coming around on showing respect to the Bills, I cannot take them against Mahomes and company. This dog or pass spot is a pass, but be sure to tune in for viewing purposes.

Props

Betting Play: Over 59.5 rushing yards

There are a handful of player props to attack on Monday night, let’s run down that list.

Kenyan Drake

I briefly touched on the relative inability to run the football from the Cardinals this year, but there is a Drake prop that is simply set far too low for this matchup. His rushing yards total is set at just 59.5. Even with the absolutely disappointing start to this season, Drake has surpassed that rushing mark in four of five games. With respect the to the Cowboys, they have allowed six running backs to hit that mark. They have played just five games.

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