NFL Week 5 Best Bets
October 8, 2021
We are looking to continue rolling on our NFL betting picks and player prop picks. You will find the best picks and predictions for Week 5 below.
Be sure to check out all of our NFL Picks here.
Carolina Panthers -3 vs Philadelphia Eagles
✅ The Eagles may look to fix their one dimensional offense and actually give the run game a chance. The problem for them is this is the wrong matchup in which to do so. The Panthers have been incredibly stout up front, and the Eagles will likely put themselves in too many 3rd and long scenarios.
✅ All signs point to the league's top back, Christian McCaffrey, returning this week for the Panthers. His presence cannot be understated, and makes the offense nearly impossible to defend.
✅ The offense becomes impossible to defend not solely because of McCaffrey. The connection between Sam Darnold and DJ Moore is very real, and gives the Panthers elite options for beating their opponent at every level. That will happen as the Eagles have allowed over 40 points per game in their last two against high-end offenses.
Tennessee Titans -4.5 at Jacksonville Jaguars
✅ As if the 0-4 Jaguars needed any more problems, Urban Meyer created them anyway. The media stir over his viral video may not fully reflect how done his player already are with him.
✅ The Jaguars are simply going to get steamrolled by Derrick Henry. They have allowed statistically sound days to some of the least backs in the league. They will now be rolled over by one of the league's elite backs and rushing attacks.
✅ While the Titans are exploitable on the back end, the Jaguars are unlikely to be a team to do so. Trevor Lawrence has thrown seven interceptions through four games and is now without top wide receiver DJ Chark.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Prop of 51.5 Yards
✅ CEH has found his groove the last two weeks, hitting the century mark rushing in each. In a game in which we will see a world of scoring, even a low volume rushing day should see him comfortably to the over.
✅ The Bills have been statistically great against running backs thus far, but the main reason for that is the ease of their schedule. They have won via blowout but that is a highly unlikely event at Arrowhead and against the Chiefs potent offense.
Michael Pittman 53.5 Receiving Yards
✅ Pittman has emerged as the Colts true top receiver. He has accumulated 32 targets over the last three games, including 12 apiece in the pair of games they were trailing and lost. He will continue to see this volume and that will turn to production.
✅ The Ravens defense is less than we have become accustomed to. The blow of losing Marcus Peters for the season certainly hurts their cause. While they have not been scorched by any single wide receiver this season, they have allowed at least 60 yard receiving to a single wide receiver in every game this season. Pittman is the lone Colts receiver with the volume to fit that bill.
✅ In addition to the yardage total, Pittman's reception total is set at 4.5. He has at least six catches in each of the last three games and there is absolutely nothing changing to think that trend does not continue.