NFL Week 15 Betting Picks and Predictions

December 17, 2020

As the regular season winds down, we have just one or two weeks where the majority of our betting plays will be truly identifiable early in the week. In the coming two weeks, more so week 17 than week 16, we will have some playoff seeding decided and will see teams rest key players, but often do not get that news until later in the week.

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With no worries on that front this week, we can operate as normal. This week also introduces the late season Saturday night football double header. This has become commonplace but all of our plays will come from the shortened Sunday slate this week. We have a healthy amount of NFL Picks on Sunday however, with four games and five plays making the cut, so let’s get to them.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

Betting Play: Colts -7

1PM EST
Opening Line: Colts -6.5 and 52
Current Line: Colts -7 and 51

To say that the Texans are a bad team gotten worse due to injury and suspension would be an understatement. To say they are completely reeling and will be hard pressed to be competitive with any competent team would be a more accurate depiction of their current state. The Bears were unable to blow out any opponent this season, but the Texans helped remedy that as they allowed a 36-7 drubbing.

On offense, the Texans remain unable to competently run the football and are now hindered by the decimation of their wide receiving corps. The have lost Will Fuller to suspension and Randall Cobb to injury for the remainder of the season. They also have Brandin Cooks and Keke Coutee banged up and certainly not playing at 100%. Chad Hansen is currently operating as their top wide out. This is somewhere between patchwork and rag tag and will simply not be a recipe for scoring points.

The Houston defense might make the offense look good. They continue to let running backs feast on them and additionally allowed low end Mitchell Trubisky to have arguably the best game of his career last week. Combine the Texans rushing defense deficiency with the matchup this week, and we get a nightmare or a perfect dream, depending on the perspective. The Colts have elevated highly talented rookie Jonathan Taylor to lead back duties, and he ran all over the Raiders last week in an easy win.

The matchup this week is as cake as they come, and Taylor and the Colts will control this game front to back, as Houston will be both unable to stop the Colts, nor will they be able to remotely keep up a scoring pace. Take the Colts to roll once again against a non competitive Texans team.

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Seattle Seahawks at Washington Football Team

Betting Play: WFT +6

1PM EST
Opening Line: Seahawks -3 and 45.5
Current Line: Seahawks -6 and 44.5

This game might now bring the most non sensical line movement of the week. The Seahawks woes over the last month and a half were covered up by a home matchup with the Jets last week. They have lost three of their last six and four of their last eight, and are just 1-3 in their last four road games. The only win came against a reeling and bottom of the barrel Eagles team.

They also lost at home to a similar Giants team two weeks ago, and are simply not the team that was taking the league by storm to start the season. Additionally the Seahawks have just two wins by more than one score on the season, and those were both in home games. Even if this matchup were against a pushover team, the Seahawks are simply not a sound bet on the road, let alone on the East coast for an early start.

The Football Team is dealing with some injuries, most notably to high end rookie running back Antonio Gibson. I expect him to be out this week, but there is still a chance he plays. Quarterback Alex Smith is also banged up, but he is more likely to play. Even if Smith misses, there is no mammoth fall off to Dwayne Haskins at this point in their respective careers, and it is not the offensive side of the ball that makes WFT attractive as a home dog here.

WFT has won four straight, and it has been on the back of their defense. They have not allowed an opponent to eclipse 17 points over that span and the defense is playing at the highest level of any team in the league at the moment.

Even if they give up a few additional points this week, and even if they lose the game, Seattle is not a team that pulls away in games nor wins them decisively. The opening line of getting a field goal was an attractive one, but with the line movement and now at +6, it moves them to must play territory.

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