• Sat
    Jun 19
  • 12:30 am
    BKN
    MIL
    -120
    100
  • 12:00 am
    NYI
    TBL
    125
    -147
  • Fri
    Jun 18
  • 2:00 am
    LAC
    UTA
    100
    -120
  • 12:00 am
    MTL
    VGK
    140
    -167
  • Thu
    Jun 17
  • FINAL
    NYI
    TBL
    118
    -139
  • Wed
    Jun 16
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -278
    230
  • Tue
    Jun 15
  • FINAL
    BKN
    MIL
    125
    -149
  • Mon
    Jun 14
  • FINAL
    VGK
    MTL
    -250
    200
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    120
    -145
  • Sun
    Jun 13
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    105
    -130
  • FINAL
    TBL
    NYI
    -189
    155
  • FINAL
    MIL
    BKN
    110
    -135
  • Fri
    Jun 11
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    -130
    105
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    100
    -120
  • Thu
    Jun 10
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -149
    125
  • FINAL
    VGK
    COL
    -114
    -103
  • Wed
    Jun 9
  • FINAL
    PHX
    DEN
    -278
    210
  • FINAL
    NYI
    BOS
    118
    -139
  • Tue
    Jun 8
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -175
    145
  • FINAL
    COL
    VGK
    -145
    120
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -179
    148

Week 13 NFL Picks – Picks and Predictions by TJ Calkins

December 4, 2020

Thumbnail

Thanks for stopping back for NFL week 13 betting plays. Before diving into week 13, let’s go back and quickly review how we did on the week 12 NFL Picks.

Quick Links

With one of our Sunday plays being pushed all the way back to Wednesday, the review piece didn’t happen this week. That Steelers play got home for us, but was sadly our only win due to some ugly beats on Sunday. Derek Carr and the Raiders absolutely peed the bed last week, mustering only six points against the Falcons.

Despite that anemic showing, our over 54 play in that game only fell five points short. Truly maddening experience there. That was bad but it was ony to be outdone by Chiefs -3.5 and Chiefs over 56. The Chiefs held leads of 17-0 and 27-10, and the latter was still with plenty of time left in the third quarter.

Even if the Chiefs stop scoring completely, surely the over gets there for the split, right? No, not to be. The Chiefs didn’t score again and the Bucs scored exactly 14 more points for the half point cover. With the Steeler win and cover on Wednesday, we went 1-3 on game plays for the week bringing the season total to 23-28-2 on the season. We did have once cancelled prop play on Jonathan Taylor for a push, but the other three were easy wins. The 3-0 prop play week brings us to 27-26 on the season. Let’s get to NFL Week 13.

This week has some scheduling anomalies forced by the multiple movements of the Steelers vs Ravens game. We have a doubleheader on Monday Night and an additional game on Tuesday. What this means is a shorter slate on Sunday, but we will have three games to cover in the normal Monday Night piece. Keep a look out for that as well as the prop betting piece over the weekend. Let’s get to this week’s plays.

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Betting Play: Bears -3

1PM EST
Opening Line: Bears -3 and 45.5
Current Line: Bears -3 and 44.5

The Lions defense has been something of a turnstile for the majority of this season, and that will not change this week. After a 3-3 start, the wheels have come off for the Lions.

They have lost four of five since that start and are allowing 32.6 points per game in those five games. They are currently sorting through the aftermath of a head coach firing and have dealt with a multitude of key injuries. They will once again be without top playmaker Kenny Golladay on offense, and will likely be without D’andre Swift as well, despite him clearing concussion protocol.

Their matchup with the Bears defense is not an attractive one, despite that side of the ball having a real hiccup in Lambeau last week. The Bears defense is very tough at home, and are allowing just 19.2 points per game at home. And have allowed 19 or fewer in four of those five games, with the Saints being the 26 point scoring outlier. They also rank eighth in the league in scoring defense overall. The skeleton crew the Detroit offense is bringing to the table will not be in for a pleasant trip.

While we are on the topic of scoring defense, the Lions are second worst in the league and are in danger of passing Dallas for that top/bottom spot, even after the Cowboys woeful start. They simply cannot stop backs and even allowed always anemic Duke Johnson to have a useful statistical line against them last week. David Montgomery had his best game as a pro last week and with this matchup on deck, he should absolutely be licking his chops as he will control this game.

With Montgomery doing everything the Bears wish to do on the offensive side of the ball, Trubisky can just be a game manager and hopefully continues to feed volume to Allen Robinson.  Even if not, the Bears have advantages on both sides of the ball, and I think this is a spot to take advantage of a line not nearly wide enough.

  • New
    nj
  • 1200px
    pa
  • 1200px
    mi
  • 1200px
    wv
  • Indiana
    in
  • 1200px
    co
  • Illinois
    il
  • State
    tn
  • Seal
    va
  • Iowa
    ia
  • Other

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Easy registration process
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

Bet365 Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Top class user experience
  • Great live betting
  • World biggest sportsbook

Get $500 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB500

SugarHouse Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Generous Bonus
  • Great Loyalty Program
  • Wide Range of Banking Options

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB

PointsBet Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Very user-friendly platform
  • Outstanding US sports offers
  • One of the biggest sportsbooks in US

Get $2000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB2000

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Great promotions
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Easy registration process

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Strong presence in US
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

SugarHouse Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Great Loyalty Program
  • Generous Bonus
  • Wide Range of Banking Options

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB

Unibet Sportsbook

Rated 4.7 stars out of 5
4.7
  • Sign-up Bonus
  • Trustworthy brand
  • Great international betting coverage

Get $40 free

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • Great Promotions
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions
  • Easy registration process

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Great Promotions
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

BetRivers Sportsbook

Rated 4 stars out of 5
4.0
  • Both online and land-based sportsbook
  • Great Welcome Bonus
  • Top Class Customer Support

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
250MATCH

Golden Nugget Sportsbook

Rated 4.1 stars out of 5
4.1
  • Generous promotions
  • User-friendly website
  • Quality instead of quantity

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Easy registration process
  • Great promotions
  • Best Multi interface platform

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Strong presence in US
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

William Hill Sportsbook

Rated 4.9 stars out of 5
4.9
  • Trustworthy brand
  • Great Promotions
  • Wide range of betting options

Get $500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUSRF

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Easy registration process
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Generous bonus offers
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

PointsBet Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • One of the biggest sportsbooks in US
  • Outstanding US sports offers
  • Very user-friendly platform

Get $2000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB2000

Unibet Sportsbook

Rated 4.7 stars out of 5
4.7
  • Sign-up Bonus
  • Trustworthy brand
  • Great international betting coverage

Get $40 free

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • Great Promotions
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Easy registration process
  • Great promotions
  • Best Multi interface platform

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

Sportsbetting.com

Rated 4 stars out of 5
4.0
  • Fast payouts
  • Exciting Daily Promos
  • 1X Bonus Playthrough

Get $150 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

PointsBet Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Very user-friendly platform
  • Outstanding US sports offers
  • One of the biggest sportsbooks in US

Get $2000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB2000

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Generous bonus offers
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

PointsBet Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • One of the biggest sportsbooks in US
  • Very user-friendly platform
  • Outstanding US sports offers

Get $2000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB2000

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

BetRivers Sportsbook

Rated 4 stars out of 5
4.0
  • Top Class Customer Support
  • Both online and land-based sportsbook
  • Great Welcome Bonus

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
250MATCH

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions
  • Easy registration process

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Generous bonus offers
  • Strong presence in US
  • Wide range of betting options

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

William Hill Sportsbook

Rated 4.9 stars out of 5
4.9
  • Great Promotions
  • Trustworthy brand
  • Wide range of betting options

Get $500 bonus

Promo Сode:
SPORTSBONUSRF

Wynnbet Sportsbook

Rated 4 stars out of 5
4.0
  • Great Welcome Bonus
  • Top-Class Sportsbook & Casino
  • Wide range of betting options

Get $500 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Strong presence in US
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Great promotions
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Easy registration process

Get $100 free

Promo Сode:
USSB600

Unibet Sportsbook

Rated 4.7 stars out of 5
4.7
  • Great international betting coverage
  • Sign-up Bonus
  • Trustworthy brand

Get $40 free

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Great Promotions
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

BetRivers Sportsbook

Rated 4 stars out of 5
4.0
  • Top Class Customer Support
  • Great Welcome Bonus
  • Both online and land-based sportsbook

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
250MATCH

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Easy registration process
  • Great promotions

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Generous bonus offers
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

PointsBet Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Very user-friendly platform
  • Outstanding US sports offers
  • One of the biggest sportsbooks in US

Get $2000 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB2000

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Great Promotions
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

BetRivers Sportsbook

Rated 4 stars out of 5
4.0
  • Great Welcome Bonus
  • Top Class Customer Support
  • Both online and land-based sportsbook

Get $250 bonus

Promo Сode:
250MATCH

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions
  • Easy registration process

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5
4.5
  • Wide range of betting options
  • Strong presence in US
  • Generous bonus offers

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans

Betting Play: Colts -3.5

1PM EST
Opening Line: Colts -3.5 and 53
Current Line: Colts -3.5 and 51

We touched on how friendly the Lions are to backs in the previous game. Well the Texans are worse, and dare I say, considerably worse. Enter an explosion spot for high end rookie running back Jonathan Taylor.

Two games ago, it appeared the Colts were ready to hand him the keys to the backfield, as he was the absolute driving force in a quality win against the Packers. We were ready to see what Taylor can do with a full workload, and then 2020 struck. Taylor was placed on the COVID list and missed last week’s game, but will return for this mouth watering matchup. The Texans are a perfect stylistic matchup for what the Colts want and need to do to have success. Pound the rock and just mix in passing, while hiding the noodle arm of Philip Rivers. The Texans will oblige any team willing to commit to the run against them, and I think we see Taylor control this game.

On the other side of the ball, the Texans took a hit they simply could not afford this week. Top offensive option and playmaker Will Fuller was suspended for the remainder of the season for PED use. We have to wonder if that is the reason he was able to enjoy physical health for the first time in his career this season, but that is neither here nor there.

The Texans are also missing Randall Cobb and now have a completely underwhelming group of pass catchers, headlined by Brandin Cooks and Keke Coutee. Life without Fuller will be far less fun for Deshaun Watson and I expect real difficulties for the Houston offense as a whole, as they simply do not run the ball well, and cannot adapt in that fashion.

The Colts will win both sides of the ball, and should control this game throughout. I have been critical of the Colts schedule, but the more difficult portion got a lot easier with two matchups with Houston sans Fuller, and they will now simply continue to take advantage of one of the league’s softest schedule.

  • New
    nj
  • 1200px
    pa
  • 1200px
    mi
  • 1200px
    wv
  • Indiana
    in
  • 1200px
    co
  • Illinois
    il
  • State
    tn
  • Seal
    va
  • Iowa
    ia
  • Other

BetMGM Sportsbook

Rated 5 stars out of 5
5.0
  • Easy registration process
  • Best Multi interface platform
  • Great promotions

Get $600 bonus

Promo Сode:
USSB600

FanDuel Sportsbook

Rated 4.5 stars out of 5