NFL Week 13 Prop Betting Plays

December 4, 2020

NFL Week 13 is not a heavy prop play week, but we have some very juicy matchups to attack. Horrific defenses with big holes have some prop matchups that simply mislined and in must play territory. We also have one under on a quarterback that we won on last week and attempt to go back to that well. Let’s get to them.

Brandon Allen

Betting Play: Under 210.5 passing yards

We played the under on Allen passing yards last week, and it went under by nearly 100 yards. The line has only moved downwards five yards this week, to 201.5.

He gathered 139 yards last week on 29 attempts, and this is a reasonable expectation every week. He is not a player that can stretch the field and we will not see deep ball success, and he is inaccurate at every level.

The Dolphins matchup is not a daunting one by any means, but I’m not sure any matchup is one where Allen should have any level of expectation. We are right back to the under on him this week.

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Jonathan Taylor

Betting Play: Over 52.5 rushing yards

Two weeks ago ,we lost Taylor’s gimmie over when he went on the COVID list. He is back now, and if his last game is any indication, he is being handed the keys to the backfield kingdom.

Even if he is still in any sort of timeshare in this game, his rushing prop is set at just 52.5. This line opened at 47.5 and was pounded upwards within hours, and for good reason.

Houston is a turnstile for running backs, allowing 154.7 yards per game on the ground, and if you guaranteed me just 10 carries for Taylor, I would smash this over in a split heartbeat. Of course, he’s likely to get much more volume than that, and we are comfortably attacking the over.

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