NBA Predictions Playoff Week 8/31-9/6 – Updated Daily!

August 31, 2020

Sunday Betting Play

Betting Play: Play the Heat.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

330PM EST
Opening Line: Heat -1.5 and 220
Current Line: Heat -1 and 219.5

It seemed unthinkable at midseason that the Bucks would be pushed to the brink like this, but here they are. The Heat lead 3-0 and it looks like they will bounce the 1 seed today and secure their spot in the conference finals. 

It has not been overly reported, but it has been quite clear: The players are not enjoying themselves in the bubble. They generally do not want to be there and are pushing through to close the season. When a team goes down 3-0 like the Bucks have, it is just genuinely difficult for me to envision the team with the deficit putting up any real level of fight to try to climb an essentially insurmountable mountain. With the Bucks going home at the conclusion of this series, I suspect they will will ask, “why wait?” Look for the Heat to continue their dominance in this series and close out the Bucks on Sunday. 

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Friday NBA

We are unfortunately without a dedicated play today. The Bucks have shown us they cannot be trusted, but I am also not in a rush to bet against them in this down 0-2 spot either. Best to take this game in and gain whatever additional information comes available. 

The Lakers and Rockets kick off their series today. I want to see how both teams look against each other at full strength, as I don’t currently have a solid read on this series. Needless to say, if Houston can be even remotely effective in the paint and on the glass, they are very live. 

No plays today. 

Thursday Review

The Raptors won in dramatic fashion, on a last second three. The problem is they won by jone one while laying two. They did let a four point late lead slip away and then kinda lucked into a win. They were beaten in the paint and on the glass again, and might be best served to simply remove Marc Gasol from the rotation at this point. I don’t believe we’ve seen the last nail biter in this series and it may be a difficult one to target going forward. 

The loss brings us to 5-5 on the playoffs and 79-63 on the season. 

Thursday Betting Play – Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors

Betting Play: Raptors -2

630 PM EST
Opening Line: Raptors -1 and 214
Current Line: Raptors -2 and 217

The Celtics have taken the first two games of this well matched series, but the trend is for the series to tighten with a Toronto win today. The Celtics had an easy 18 point win in Game 1, shooting 47% while Toronto was at an abysmal 37%. The Celtics outrebounded the Ratpors by 10 in that game and were +7 in three pointers made. Game 2 trended much more towards the Raptors. The shooting disparity was just 42% to 40%, the Celtics were +3 in rebounds, but were still +4 from behind the arc. This was also a game the Raptors controlled heading into the fourth quarter before letting the lead slip away and losing by three points. The Raptors fixed the points in the paint problem in Game 2. After being dead even in Game 1, the Raptors were +20 in Game 2 and fully lost a game they shouldn’t have. 

I look for the Raptors to get in the win column on the series today. They will probably lose behnd the arc in every game this series, but they can certainly fix the rebounding disparity from the first two games, and attack the Celtics inside. The Celtics will continue to be without Hayward and while that hasn’t caught up with them yet, today is the day that will begin. Take the Raptors. 

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