NBA Playoff Week 8/17-23

August 16, 2020

Saturday Betting Play

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers

Betting Play: Portland +7.5

8:30PM EST

Opening Line: Lakers -7.5
Current Line: Lakers -7.5

At the risk of sounding like broken record, we are going right back to Portland today. The ______ shooting performance from Wednesday won’t be repeated and they will bounce back after a lackluster showing.

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Friday Betting Play

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz

Betting Play: Over 218.5

4PM EST

Opening Line: Nuggets -1.5 and 220
Current Line: Nuggets -1.5 218.5

After going back to the well with the Blazers yesterday and failing, I similarly remain steadfast (and stubborn) that the totals on this series remain incorrect. Highlighted in the game 2 write up of this series was the Nuggets inability to stop anyone defensively in the bubble without Gary Harris and Will Barton. This version of the Nuggets needs to outscore opponents to win, and can’t have any reliance on getting stops. I fail to see what’s changed leading up to game 3. Game 1 saw a competitive scoring explosion that landed on 260 points. And game 2 got to 230 despite the Jazz blow out win and the stars sitting out the last seven minutes of the game and all starters sitting the last four minutes. Right back to this well today with another over play as the Nuggets are simply not the same team we grew accustomed to prior to the bubble. 

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