Movsar Evloev vs Hakeem Dawodu Prediction

June 10, 2021

Movsar Evloev -235 vs Hakeem Dawodu

Fight is at 145 lbs and is +175 to end inside the distance. 

Betting Pick: Evloev -235

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✅ The betting line on this fight is not wide enough, but I understand why it is difficult for the public to stretch it out. Hakeem Dawodu has been impressive at times, but I believe this is the jump in competition that will prove to be too much for him. The striker is on a five fight winning streak, but three of those have come by way of split decision. The good thing for him is he was able to edge out wins in these close fights. The bad news is that the competition was all a good degree less than that of his current opponent. Dawodu may or may not be the better striker in this matchup, but if he is to have a chance to win, that is where he will need the fight to take place. His wrestling and grappling skill set will need work to compete at this level, and it will be his undoing in this fight. 

✅ Movsar Evloev is a perfect 4-0 in the UFC, and he will be the one snapping the winning streak of Dawodu in this matchup. I believe Evloev is on par with Dawodu in the standup portion, but the gift for Evloev in this fight is he will not need to be. Evloev is a quality wrestler that will find little resistance in that department in this fight. He will also have something of an easy time controlling his opponent on the mat. The get ups in this fight are likely to come only because the horn has sounded ending the round. Once Evloev realizes how much this is his easiest path to victory, he will take the fight down in each round. 

✅ This will not be the most exciting fight of the night, but it is one where we can project the favorite to cruise to something of an easy win. This is a spot I’m comfortable laying the -235. Evloev has multiple paths to victory, including a glaring and easy one with mat control. 

Betting Pick: Evloev -235

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TJ
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.