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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners Betting Picks and Predictions

25 September 2020

NCAAF Picks Austyn Varney
Date:Saturday, September 26th
Time:12:00 PM ET
Venue:Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Network:FOX
Spread:Oklahoma -28
O/U:60.5

The 1-0 Oklahoma Sooners will host the 0-1 Kansas State Wildcats on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET. You can watch the game on FOX. Oklahoma came out with a dominant performance on both sides of the ball while Kansas State was demolished as a 14.5-point favorite. We saw this game a season ago and the Wildcats surprised the Sooners with a tough game. Let’s dive in and see if they’ll be able to do it again.

When The Kansas State Wildcats Have The Ball

The first game of the season was a bit misleading as the Kansas State offense really wasn’t bad. It came down to the final drive and Central Arkansas punched it in late. The Wildcats were beat up through the air, allowing five touchdowns to three different QB’s. Jonathan Adams Jr. caught eight balls for 98 yards and three touchdowns. Kansas State better learn how to slow down a WR1 because they’re facing a lethal one in this game.

Offensively, Kansas State still put up 347 yards and they won the turnover battle +2. Skylar Thompson remains the QB for the fourth consecutive season and he gave this Oklahoma a ton of issues a season ago. He’s a dual-threat quarterback that can do damage if you don’t prepare correctly. 

Harry Trotter and Deuce Vaughn will split time in the backfield and both are solid. Trotter is the short-yardage guy while Vaughn can break it loose on any given play. They can both catch and are big assets in the versatility of this offense. Oklahoma struggled with this Wildcats offense in 2019 and I can see the same thing happening here if the Wildcats mix up their looks. They certainly have the experience and talent to do so.

When The Oklahoma Sooners Have The Ball

The never-ending turnstile of dynamic superstar QB’s at Oklahoma continues and Spencer Rattler might be one of the best yet. He’s somewhat similar in build and style to Kyler Murray, but he doesn’t run quite as much. He’s more of a pure passer that likes to stretch the ball downfield and we saw four first-quarter touchdowns in week one against Missouri State.

With star WR Ceedee Lamb off to play for the Cowboys, Charleston Rambo will step in as the primary option. He didn’t play much in the blowout, but still caught four passes for 80 yards and two touchdowns. Freshman Marvin Mims is going to be a superstar before long and he caught three balls for 80 yards and a score. Theo Howard and Theo Wease are smaller receivers that will work in the short-range and get a ton of attention in short-yardage spots.

The running back spot is an interesting one for Oklahoma. Junior T.J. Pledger remains the starter, but freshman Seth McGowan looked undeniably dangerous in the opener and he’s going to be on the field. He ran the ball nine times for 61 yards and a score while adding a 37-yard TD reception. Marcus Major will get carries as well and he’s more of a thunderous back to the others lightning.

Kansas State made the Arkansas State offense look elite, so I can only imagine how much fun Rattler and co. are going to have. Expect well over 100 yards out of Rambo and Wease and multiple scores between the pair. The Oklahoma defense struggled with Kansas State a season ago, and it’ll be interesting to note whether they made the proper adjustments or not.

Spread Prediction

Kansas State might make this game interesting for a half, but the Oklahoma Sooners offense is too good and the Wildcats won’t be able to keep up. The Sooners defense isn’t great at limiting points, but they do force turnovers and will give their offense a couple of chances with elite field position. Skylar Thompson is versatile, but he’s certainly prone to making mistakes.

Spencer Rattler looked phenomenal in week one and had great chemistry with his receivers. The Sooners have two running backs with superstar potential and they might be more balanced than we’re used to. Defensively, the Sooners return seven starters and bring in a few potential stars. We know what we’re getting with Kansas State and I expect Oklahoma to lay it on in the second half. This is right on a football number, so I would buy the 1/2-point to make it 27.5

The Pick: Oklahoma +27.5

Best Sportsbooks For This Pick

New JerseyWilliam Hill square logoBet@William Hill
PennsylvaniaSugarHouse online casino square logoBet@SugarHouse
IndianaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
West VirginiaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
ColoradoBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
IllinoisBetRivers square logoBet@BetRivers

Total Prediction

These Wildcats gave up nearly 40 points to Central Arkansas, so the Oklahoma Sooners shouldn’t have any problem approaching 50. This is a big number, but the Sooners play at one of the fastest paces in the country and the Wildcats showed no ability to slow the pass in week one. On the other side of the ball, Kansas State put up 25+ against Oklahoma a season ago. While I don’t expect similar success, they will score a couple of times to put this game over comfortably.

The Pick: Over 60.5

Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma 52, Kansas State 17

Best Sportsbooks For This Pick

New JerseyWilliam Hill square logoBet@William Hill
PennsylvaniaSugarHouse online casino square logoBet@SugarHouse
IndianaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
West VirginiaBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
ColoradoBetMGM white and gold logo on black backgroundBet@BetMGM
IllinoisBetRivers square logoBet@BetRivers

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