Fucsovics vs Paul – ATP Rotterdam Betting Picks
04 March 2021
Fucsovics vs Paul is the last quarterfinal of the day from the ATP Rotterdam tournament. With both players in the mid-50s in the world rankings, a win here could guarantee that one would leapfrog the other by next week. And with both players looking strong on the slow courts, this could be a very entertaining match. In today’s tennis picks, we look at Fucsovics vs Paul and tell you why recent results might not be the best barometer for this match.
Marton Fucsovics vs Tommy Paul
The Pick: Over 22.5 games (-105)
Marton Fucsovics has had the most impressive run so far in Rotterdam. He won two qualifying matches just to get into the main draw, taking both of those matches in straight sets. He followed that performance up with a three-set win over Reilly Opelka and a straight set win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The Hungarian has followed up nicely on a strong showing in Melbourne, where he won two matches in the Australian Open.
The Hungarian had to win two very different matches in the main draw to get to the quarterfinals. He played 39 games out of a possible 39 games against Opelka in the first round. Fucsovics followed that up with a performance in which he broke Davidovich Fokina six times in two sets. He had chances to break against Opelka as well, which is no small feat even if he only converted one of them.
Tommy Paul has also played well in Rotterdam so far, winning four of his five sets thus far. After a convincing straight sets win over Lorenzo Sonego, Paul scored an underrated win over Alexander Bublik. Bublik was a day removed from demolishing Sascha Zverev in the previous round of this tournament, in a match where he was never really in danger. Paul now has a chance to follow that win up with another victory over an in-form Fucsovics.
Paul didn’t face a break point in the win over Bublik, despite the match going three sets. Bublik won the opening set of that match in a close 7-5 tiebreak. But Paul managed to take the final two sets without facing any adversity on his serve. Against Fucsovics, the American can likely expect more of a challenge in his service games.
Fucsovics vs Paul is a match that took place in last year’s Australian Open. Fucsovics won that match in three sets, losing just six service games during that straight set match. But the speed of the courts in Melbourne is much quicker than those in Rotterdam this week, and a more competitive match should be expected here given how much harder it is for players to hit the ball through the court.
Expect this match to go three sets, as there should be a tiebreak or two mixed in. Both players are playing excellent tennis, especially on their own serves. And while the past matches between these players have both ended in straight sets, the slow hard court in Rotterdam should be something of an equalizer. The over 22.5 service games play is the way to go.
The Pick: Over 22.5 games (-105)
Tennis Betting FAQ
Roger Federer is making his return to the ATP Tour next week in Doha, Qatar. Federer has not played tennis in a long time, and the tennis world will be watching with curiosity as to how he looks after so much time off.
The favorites in this tournament just did not bring it, for the most part. Daniil Medvedev and Sascha Zverev were demolished in straight sets in their first matches in Rotterdam. Andrey Rublev and Stefanos Tsitsipas both looked good, but potential late-round matchups between them, Medvedev and Zverev were taken from us.
Tsitsipas and Rublev are the prohibitive favorites to come away with this title now that Medvedev and Zverev are out. Karen Khachanov is another player who should not be overlooked, though, as he has looked great in his two wins in this event. The winner of the Coric vs Nishikori match also has a fighter’s chance in the semifinals and beyond.