Askar Askarov vs Joseph Benavidez Predictions

05 March 2021

UFC Predictions with TJ Calkins

Askar Askarov -130 vs Joseph Benavidez

Fight is at 125 lbs and is +150 to end inside the distance.

Betting Play: Benavidez +110

Askar Askarov brings a strong grappling skill set, but he is limited in what he brings in the striking. With that being said, it is madness that a fighter that would need to win a decision via top control time is favored against Joseph Benavidez. Yes Benavidez lost a pair of fights to champ Deiveson Figueiredo, but now this step back down in competition is quite a steep one.

Benavidez will have such a huge striking advantage in this fight, it will seem lopsided once these two fighters are in the octagon. While Benavidez can be taken down, he is an elite scrambler and will not be controlled on the floor, particularly not by a fighter that cannot set up grappling with his striking.

✅ Ultimately the limitations in the striking portion of Askarov’s game will be his complete undoing in this matchup.

✅ Benavidez will look completely different and world’s better when fighting any fighter that is not Figueiredo, and that sets up Askarov to be the loser here.

✅ Do not hesitate to snatch up the plus figure value on Benavidez in a completely mislined fight.

Betting Play: Benavidez +110

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