Menu

Alexander Hernandez vs Thiago Moises Predictions

26 February 2021

UFC Predictions with TJ Calkins

Alexander Hernandez -190 vs Thiago Moises

Fight is at 155 lbs and is +130 to end inside the distance.

Betting Play: Hernandez -190

This fight feels like it will be a very one sided affair, and in turn that the betting line is not wide enough.

Alexander Hernandez is a very well rounded fighter and fantastic athlete. He will have an advantage in every area of this fight, save for submission attack.

While Thiago Moises continues to show improvement, I think this stylistic matchup at this point in his career is simply something he’s not ready for. He is completely a BJJ fighter at his base, and has shown how dangerous he can be with submission attack, it is unlikely he will be able to implement that game against Hernandez.

Hernandez is world’s better in the wrestling department, and if a fighter is taking the fight to the floor, it will be him. He is also a sound grappler with very good positional awareness and it seems a long-shot he puts himself into a bad position that could lead to a submission.

The most likely outcome however is the fight takes place exclusively on the feet and Hernandez runs away with the fight in that aspect.

✅ This fight is the grappler’s version of just having a puncher’s chance, and that is a submission from Moises that is highly unlikely to come. Attack the value on Hernandez.

Betting Play: Hernandez -190

More Picks on UFC Vegas 20

UFC Vegas 24 – Whittaker vs Gastelum Predictions & More

UFC Vegas 24 – Whittaker vs Gastelum Predictions & More

read more
Robert Whittaker vs Kelvin Gastelum Predictions

Robert Whittaker vs Kelvin Gastelum Predictions

read more
Jeremy Stephens vs Drakkar Klose Predictions

Jeremy Stephens vs Drakkar Klose Predictions

read more
Andrei Arlovski vs Chase Sherman Predictions

Andrei Arlovski vs Chase Sherman Predictions

read more
UFC Predictions at USsportsbonus.com

Want to get the latest news and exclusive offers?

Sign up for our newsletter now!