• Sat
    Jun 19
  • 12:30 am
    BKN
    MIL
    -120
    100
  • 12:00 am
    NYI
    TBL
    125
    -147
  • Fri
    Jun 18
  • 2:00 am
    LAC
    UTA
    100
    -120
  • 12:00 am
    MTL
    VGK
    140
    -167
  • Thu
    Jun 17
  • FINAL
    NYI
    TBL
    118
    -139
  • Wed
    Jun 16
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -278
    230
  • Tue
    Jun 15
  • FINAL
    BKN
    MIL
    125
    -149
  • Mon
    Jun 14
  • FINAL
    VGK
    MTL
    -250
    200
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    120
    -145
  • Sun
    Jun 13
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    105
    -130
  • FINAL
    TBL
    NYI
    -189
    155
  • FINAL
    MIL
    BKN
    110
    -135
  • Fri
    Jun 11
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    -130
    105
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    100
    -120
  • Thu
    Jun 10
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -149
    125
  • FINAL
    VGK
    COL
    -114
    -103
  • Wed
    Jun 9
  • FINAL
    PHX
    DEN
    -278
    210
  • FINAL
    NYI
    BOS
    118
    -139
  • Tue
    Jun 8
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -175
    145
  • FINAL
    COL
    VGK
    -145
    120
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -179
    148

Two Major Differences Betting NFL In 2020 Versus Past Seasons

September 9, 2020

TJ

With the NFL set to kick off their season tonight, I wanted to touch on the two most major factors that I believe will impact NFL games in 2020 versus those of seasons past. As we know, the COVID-19 pandemic has , for better or worse, changed just about every aspect of our lives in some way, shape or form. The NFL betting will be no different as we step into unexplored territory tonight.

Injuries

Sadly, without a true training camp or preseason, we are likely in for the most injuries we will ever see this season. It’s sad, but it’s true. We are going to see a maddening number of soft tissue injuries for at least the first quarter of the season. While it has always been of massive importance to read beyond the injury reports to find the best edge on which players might be playing closer to playing healthy or closer to playing compromised, this year will have that aspect magnified at a level never before seen. We will need to do our best to understand both the value of a given starter when present and also what is actually lost when a team must resort to a given backup. There will be instances of negligible fall off and there will be instances of massive holes created. Understanding which of the two we are dealing with in each instance will be a great edge.

Home Field Lack Of Advantage

With stadiums hosting just a tiny percentage of capacity of fans to no fans at all, I think there will be a great edge in betting road teams, particularly early in the season, while oddsmakers have little to no sample size to draw data from. Fans bring a certain atmosphere and juice for home teams, which is not quantifiable, but it does exist. Where it is more quantifiable, is in the crowd noise factor, affecting opposing offenses and their play calls. That level of crowd noise simply won’t exist, and audibles and hot routes will be able to be called and heard for the road team just the same as the home team. This is fully a narrative of my own making, but I also believe we could see home teams sluggish with an empty stadium. It will be a familiar place, just lacking the game day juice. This will create an easy trap to fall into of lack of motivation and essentially seeing home players approach games like a scrimmage.

I hope you’re as excited as I am for kickoff tonight, and be sure to stop back tomorrow for the Week 1 plays! 

TJ
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.