Rublev vs Fucsovics Prediction – Wimbledon Betting Picks

July 4, 2021

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11:30 AM ET Jul 5
Andrey Rublev vs Marton Fucsovics
Rublev -2.5 sets
+110
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Rublev vs Fucsovics is one of eight men’s matches scheduled for Manic Monday at Wimbledon. This matchup has taken place several times during the 2021 tennis season, and has been incredibly one-sided this year. In this round of tennis picks, we take a look at Rublev vs Fucsovics and offer our best bet for the latest chapter in this series.

Andrey Rublev vs Marton Fucsovics

Rublev vs Fucsovics Pick: Rublev -2.5 sets (+110)

Andrey Rublev has won his first three matches at Wimbledon, though he has dropped a couple of sets along the way. He beat Federico Delbonis in four sets to open the tournament, beat Lloyd Harris in straights in round two, and took down Fabio Fognini in four sets in round three. Now he hopes to continue his dominance over Fucsovics to earn a spot in the quarterfinal round, where a matchup against Novak Djokovic would be likely.

During this edition of Wimbledon, Rublev has done an excellent job of avoiding trouble in the majority of the sets he has played. The Russian has only conceded the first break in a set once in the 11 sets that he has played thus far. Given his recent history against his opponent here in the round of 16, Rublev will like his chances to continue that trend.

Marton Fucsovics has also dropped just two sets through his first three matches at this year’s Wimbledon. The Hungarian beat Jannik Sinner in four sets in his first round match, beat Jiri Vesely after Vesely had to retire in the second set, and beat Diego Schwartzman in four sets in the third round. But he will face his toughest challenge by far in these championships against Rublev.

Outside of the Vesely match, Fucsovics has had to overcome quite a bit of adversity in his own service games during this tournament. He has been broken 10 times by Sinner and Schwartzman, and is likely to face pressure from Rublev as well. With Fucsovics averaging just over five aces per match, his inability to pick up free points consistently could finally cost him here.

Rublev vs Fucsovics has taken place seven times previously, with Rublev winning five of those seven matches. Fucsovics had taken the first two contests between the two, with Rublev winning the last five. None of those matches have come on grass. But Rublev’s recent dominance over Fucsovics has been remarkable, with Rublev winning the last nine sets between the two dating back to the 2020 French Open.

The scary thing about this match for Fucsovics has been the fact that Rublev has been improving against Fucsovics in each of their last few matches. Rublev most recently beat him 6-2 6-1 in Miami, and has looked comprehensively better than his Hungarian counterpart when they have shared the court. Expect that to continue and for Rublev to claim three straight sets to cruise into the quarterfinals.

Rublev vs Fucsovics Pick: Rublev -2.5 sets (+110)

Wimbledon Betting FAQ

What is the best match scheduled for Manic Monday?

The best match scheduled for Manic Monday is probably going to be Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sascha Zverev. The winner of that match takes on the winner of the Berrettini vs Ivashka match, which is expected to be Berrettini. Either way, FAA and Zverev represent the future of the sport and their math should be an exciting one.

Is Federer going to beat Sonego?

Roger Federer is heavily favored to beat Lorenzo Sonego, and should get the job done against him on Manic Monday. Federer getting Sunday off should help him remain in a decent physical state to pick up the victory, though Sonego is going to make it difficult on him and could steal a set or two on the way.

What are the odds to win Wimbledon heading into Monday?

Novak Djokovic is now a -177 favorite to win Wimbledon heading into the second week of action. Daniil Medvedev is at 6/1 odds to win the tournament, while Roger Federer is third favorite at 9/1. Those are the only players with odds better than 10/1, as the rest of the field will look to shock the world.

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Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is a sports writer and broadcaster from Albany, NY. He has covered sports betting and the gambling industry since 2013.