NFL Week 14 Betting Review
15 December 2020
We had another uneven week, and a 3-3 result on game bets. But prop bets continued to trend to the sky, with a 5-0 mark. As always, leave it to me to find the brutal beat of the week, and it was the Browns on Monday night this week. That may have been the worst one of the season. Let’s run through the NFL picks.
✅ Win – Bears +1
This was my favorite play of the week, and the dual prop overs on David Montgomery made this one sided affair easily our most successful of the week. Montgomery and the entire offense had themselves a day and the defense bounced back in a big way as the Bears rolled 36-7.
❌ Loss – Titans/Jags Over 52.5
The Jaguars didn’t hold up their end in this 31-10 game, and that blame falls mostly on Mike Glennon, who was benched for Gardner Minshew, who was previously benched for Jake Luton, who was previously benched for Mike Glennon. Fun times in Jacksonville.
❌ Loss – Giants +2
The Giants simply had a full dud on offense, and that lack of competence made it easy on the Arizona offense as well. The Cardinals stretched a 20-0 lead early in the third quarter, and that was a wrap as the Giants are not built to come from behind, even in a softer matchup.
✅ Win – Colts -3
Every once in a while, the Raiders can put it together on offense and defense and be competitive with an above average team, but this was not one of those weeks. Jonathan Taylor broke out and despite allowing a few points, the Colts rolled to an easy 44-27 win.
❌ Loss – Saints -6.5
The first half of this game was maddening to watch. The Saints are a better team along both the offensive and defensive lines, but both of those units got pushed around in that first half, and the result was a 17-0 halftime deficit. While the Saints did rally, that first half was too much to overcome and they lost 24-21.
✅ Win – Chargers +2
Our last second add to the betting sheet proved prudent, as the incompetent Anthony Lynn did everything he could to lose this game, but even he couldn’t screw up this spot of the Falcons without Julio, and got a late outright win, 20-17.
The 3-3 week brings us to 28-33-2 on the season. The 5-0 props week brings us to 39-27 on the season.
NFL Week 14 Review – 2019
Decent outcome of the Week 14 NFL picks.
The 49ers +3 gave the Saints everything they could handle in the dome and ultimately won the game outright. With the 49ers trailing by one point in the last minute, George Kittle made a Herculean catch and run, including a face mask penalty to put the 49ers in field goal position and the kick gave them a walk off win.
The Cle/Cin over 40.5 got there in an ugly game and the total landed on 46. This figure could have landed much higher had the Browns played even average on offense.
The Atl/Car over 48 got there with relative ease as the game landed on 60 points in what was an easy win for the Falcons.
The Dolphins +5.5 were covering for the entirety of the second half and ultimately lost by just a point as the Jets kicked a game winning field goal with three seconds left.
The play of the week Titans -2.5 rolled on the Raiders in the second half after a competitive first half. After a 21-21 halftime score, the second half belonged to Ryan Tannehill and co. and the final was 42-21. The Raiders are just not equipped to play from behind and surrendering the lead in the second half made the game a bit of a runaway.
The Jaguars +3 have just about completely quit on Doug Marrone as evidenced by a 35 point home loss to the normally inept Chargers. This one was a laugher on the wrong side.
The Seahawks -1 lost Rashaad Penny to injury early and the offense was completely out of sync for the duration of this one. Their lone touchdown came on a pick six and there really wasn’t much hope for the Seahawks throughout the second half.
The NYJ/Mia over 45 fell short as the game landed on 43 points. It is quite easy to figure out what went wrong here. The last seven (!!!) scoring plays of the game were field goals and not touchdowns. Just slightly better efficiency on either side gets this one home.
5-3 on the profitable week.
TJ Calkins –Expert
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday.