Medvedev vs Auger-Aliassime Prediction: US Open Betting Picks

Medvedev vs Auger-Aliassime is the first semifinal scheduled for Friday at the 2021 US Open. Both players have ripped through their opponents to this point in the tournament, and are just two matches away from claiming their first career major championship. In this edition of tennis betting picks, we look at this battle between the second seed in the tournament and a player with all of the tools to get there one day.

Daniil Medvedev has smoked everyone put in front of him during the 2021 US Open, dropping just one set through the entire tournament thus far. That one lost set came after his match against Botic Van de Zandschulp was well in hand, with Medvedev seeming to lose focus briefly after amassing an insurmountable lead in that contest. Against Felix Auger-Aliassime, Medvedev will not be able to afford a similar lapse.

The only concern for Medvedev heading into this match is just how soft his draw has been to make it to the semifinals. His moneyline prices to win each match in this tournament have been -1000 or greater, as he has faced a crop of opponents that do not compare to his current adversary. How Medvedev reacts to being tested on Friday will be a major storyline in this matchup.

Felix Auger-Aliassime is the relatively surprising semifinalist in this year’s US Open, with the Canadian stringing together a few impressive wins in a row to make it to this stage of the tournament. The Canadian beat Roberto Bautista-Agut, Frances Tiafoe and Carlos Alcaraz in his last three matches to get here. And even better for the Canadian is the fact that he only played a set and change before Alcaraz was forced to retire.

The extra rest could help Auger-Aliassime in this match against Medvedev, but both players will be relatively well rested with a couple of days between matches. What will be more important for Auger-Aliassime is whether or not he can avoid jitters in his first major semifinal. Those jitters could force some erratic forehands, which would give Medvedev a big advantage.

This will be the second ever Medvedev vs Auger-Aliassime match, with the two going three sets and playing a third set tiebreak in the Canadian Open in 2018. This time around, there will be no home crowd to support Auger-Aliassime, as the New York crowd has largely taken to Medvedev after his previous runs at this tournament.

In this semifinal matchup, the experience of Medvedev is going to go a long way toward helping him claim this match. That, combined with his superior defensive tennis, will force Auger-Aliassime to go for too much on his shots and hit errors on a regular basis. Medvedev will take this match in straight sets to set up a dream final with Djokovic or Zverev, where the Russian will aim for his first major crown.