Jamahal Hill vs Paul Craig Prediction

June 10, 2021

Jamahal Hill -305 vs Paul Craig

Fight is at 205 lbs and is -285 to end inside the distance. 

Betting Pick: Hill ITD -130

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✅ Paul Craig is a fighter that has found wins in fights he was losing on multiple occasions. He is a great grappler off of his back, and has been able to complete a couple of Hail Mary’s. That being said, this is not one of the fights he will be able to salvage. He will be at a massive disadvantage in the striking and will be picked apart at will. He does not have the wrestling game to force the fight to his world, and even if he does, his opponent is quite difficult to hold down. 

✅ Jamahal Hill is walking into a phenomenal stylistic spot against Paul Craig. Hill is longer, rangier, quicker and more athletic than Paul Craig. He brings much better striking and more power. This will be an absolute white wash in the stand up portion. It won’t take long for Craig to realize he has to attempt to wrestle, but it will not be sudden nor hard to read. Hill will see the takedowns coming. It would surprise me if Craig was able to survive even the first round, as Hill is just going to light him up in the stand up. 

✅ This is absolutely a spot where the -305 favorite in Hill is justified, but it is difficult to see Craig making it through the fight in its entirety. With that being the case, the -130 ITD line on Hill is easily the most attractive and it will be our point of attack. 

Betting Pick: Hill ITD -130

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TJ
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.