Charles Rosa vs Justin Jaynes Prediction

June 24, 2021

Charles Rosa -170 vs Justin Jaynes

Fight is at 145 lbs and is -135 to end inside the distance. 

Betting Pick: Rosa ITD +180

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • Great Promotions

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED

✅ While I suppose this fight feels as close as the betting line suggests, I think this is a stylistic nightmare for Justin Jaynes. Jaynes, after winning his UFC debut via early KO, he’s been finished in three consecutive fights. The early starching that he got away with in his debut, has fallen short the next three times. That will be the case again in this fight, as he will need the early KO against a very durable fighter, or will be owned for the remainder of the fight. Jaynes simply does not bring a high end wrestling nor grappling skill set, and his path to victory lies solely in an early KO. 

✅ For Charles Rosa, the game plan will simply be to survive the early danger from Jaynes, and take over afterwards. Rosa is surely not the prettiest striker, but he can be effective with it, and in this match up he will be effective. He is also worlds better on the mat, so if and when Rosa gets the fight to the floor, he will absolutely be in line for a finish. He will have the much better gas tank, and once he has the technique advantage combined with the energy advantage, it will become ugly for Jaynes. Jaynes simply does not have a three round gas tank. 

✅ The blueprint on Jaynes is consistent, and he is a fighter we can happily attack with ITD wagers. Once the gas fades and the ability is not there to keep him safe, he gets finished. This will be the case again and we will opt for the aggressive ITD line on Rosa at +180.

Betting Pick: Rosa ITD +180

DraftKings Sportsbook

Rated 4.8 stars out of 5
4.8
  • Great Promotions
  • Offers Casino, Sportsbook & DFS
  • One of the Largest Gambling Sites in the US

Get $1000 bonus

Promo Сode:
NONE NEEDED
TJ
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.