• Sat
    Jun 19
  • 12:30 am
    BKN
    MIL
    -120
    100
  • 12:00 am
    NYI
    TBL
    125
    -147
  • Fri
    Jun 18
  • 2:00 am
    LAC
    UTA
    100
    -120
  • 12:00 am
    MTL
    VGK
    140
    -167
  • Thu
    Jun 17
  • FINAL
    NYI
    TBL
    118
    -139
  • Wed
    Jun 16
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -278
    230
  • Tue
    Jun 15
  • FINAL
    BKN
    MIL
    125
    -149
  • Mon
    Jun 14
  • FINAL
    VGK
    MTL
    -250
    200
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    120
    -145
  • Sun
    Jun 13
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    105
    -130
  • FINAL
    TBL
    NYI
    -189
    155
  • FINAL
    MIL
    BKN
    110
    -135
  • Fri
    Jun 11
  • FINAL
    DEN
    PHX
    -130
    105
  • FINAL
    ATL
    PHI
    100
    -120
  • Thu
    Jun 10
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -149
    125
  • FINAL
    VGK
    COL
    -114
    -103
  • Wed
    Jun 9
  • FINAL
    PHX
    DEN
    -278
    210
  • FINAL
    NYI
    BOS
    118
    -139
  • Tue
    Jun 8
  • FINAL
    UTA
    LAC
    -175
    145
  • FINAL
    COL
    VGK
    -145
    120
  • FINAL
    PHI
    ATL
    -179
    148

Bobby Green vs Jim Miller Predictions

February 10, 2021

UFC

Bobby Green -265 vs Jim Miller

Betting Play: Green ITD

Fight is at 155 lbs and is +175 to end inside the distance

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UFC 258 Preview: Usman vs Burns Betting Picks

Betting Play: Green ITD

This is a fun fight between two very seasoned vets. By now, we know exactly what we’re getting from each fighter. Jim Miller will be the better BJJ player, as he essentially always is, but putting that to work in this fight will come with difficulty.

While Miller has wrestling chops, he will not be the better wrestler in this fight, and striking with Bobby Green will be an ever progressing nightmare for him.

Miller is a sound enough striker, but he is not on the level of Green in this department. While he will likely be able to hang tough for a round or so, cardio is a huge concern for Miller and as he progressively tires and takes damage from Green, this fight will become a runaway the longer it progresses.

If Miller is able to have wrestling success early, he will be live for a finish. However, once the cardio of Miller fades and Green stuffs any early submission attempts, it will be the beginning of the end. Green is certainly damaging enough with his striking to make the early part of this fight his as well, but the later part is what Miller will have real difficulty surviving.

With the massive shift from -235 on Green flat all the way to +360 on Green ITD, the ITD line is what I see to be dripping with value, and that will be our avenue of attack. Don’t sweat it if the first round is close, it’s the later portion of the fight where Green will run away.

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TJ
TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.