ATP Tennis Betting Picks – Paris Masters Day 2

November 2, 2020

The second day of the Rolex Paris Masters brings the remainder of the event’s first round matches. It also brings a smattering of second round affairs as well. Included in the latter group is an exciting match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Jan-Lennard Struff. The Spanish and German players are both hoping to get a second straight win in Paris to build some form indoors. They are the focus of today’s tennis betting picks.

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Jan-Lennard Struff

Pablo Carreno-Busta was one of the hottest players on tour following his performances in the US Open and French Open. But the Spaniard has had some trouble during this recent indoor hard court swing. He has won two matches and lost two matches indoors so far. And one of those wins came via the retirement of Gael Monfils in his first match in Vienna. This match gives him a chance to get back above .500 during this indoor swing.

Carreno-Busta gave away an early break in the first round of this tournament against Frenchman Hugo Gaston. After that, the Spaniard earned four breaks and gave none away in what turned into an easy straight sets victory. Struff’s serve will likely be tougher to break for Carreno-Busta. But his rock-solid groundstrokes from the back of the court will keep him in points throughout this contest.

German Jan-Lennard Struff has also struggled on the indoor hard courts since the tour restart. He is 2-3 indoors over the last few weeks, with some unimpressive wins during that time. His two victories came against clay court specialist Marco Cecchinato and a player dealing with some unsavory off-court issues in Nikoloz Basilashvili. The level of competition ramps up significantly for Struff in this match.

If Struff is going to get through Carreno-Busta in this match, he is going to need his first serve to be on point. Struff had 14 aces against Basilashvili in the first round. He was able to get himself out of some trouble with that serve in a few service games as well. Trading shots from the baseline with Carreno-Busta is not an enviable task for any player, and Struff will want to avoid those situations as much as possible in this contest.

These two players have squared off in five matches over the course of their careers. Carreno-Busta leads the all-time series 3-2, but the pair have split their two matches on hard courts. Given their recent form, Carreno-Busta is the deserved favorite in this match. With a short games line in this match, laying the 1.5 service games with the Spaniard is the way to go, especially with Carreno-Busta still holding out hope to make the tour finals in a couple of weeks.

Pick: Pablo Carreno-Busta -1.5 games (-118) over Jan-Lennard Struff

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Tennis Betting FAQ

How important is strength of opponent in tennis?

Who you play in tennis is extremely important. You can win 20 matches in a row, but if they all come against lesser opponents, that has to be factored in when placing bets. Evaluating things like form on a particular surface and who a player has faced in matches is something that should be a part of every tennis bettor’s routine.

Who is going to win the ATP Paris Masters?

Right now, the winner of this event is anyone’s guess without a clear tennis betting favorite. Rafael Nadal is the top seed, but he has never won this event in his career. Meanwhile, you have players like Diego Schwartzman, Matteo Berrettini and Carreno-Busta who are all looking to win this event to get to the ATP Finals. This tournament is up in the air, and should make for a very entertaining week of tennis throughout the field.

Are there any Americans in the ATP Paris Masters field?

Marcos Giron is currently representing the United States along with Tommy Paul, Taylor Fritz and Tennys Sandgren. Names like Frances Tiafoe and John Isner are not a part of the field in Paris this time around. But there are several American players who will look to claim ranking points in bulk in this event.

Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is a sports writer and broadcaster from Albany, NY. He has covered sports betting and the gambling industry since 2013.